This week's NFL lineup is packed with pivotal contests that will determine divisional winners, as well as help to sort out the playoff picture for both conferences. With so many intriguing matchups, it is time to break down the games and provide my loyal fan base with winners.
Jets +6 over Steelers. This game was a no touch until news broke Thursday afternoon that Steelers all world safety, Troy Polamalu, will not be active for this contest. In addition to wreaking havoc on opposing offenses, Polamalu is a game changer who often times causes turnovers that lead to scores, whether directly or indirectly. According to my mathematical analysis, his absence is worth three points alone. Furthermore, this allows Jets quarterback Mark Sanchez a little more room for error, without having to account for Polamalu on every single play.
While games of this magnitude are often determined by turnovers, they are also won by the more desperate team. Although Pittsburgh has owned the Jets at Heinz field, this is a different Jets team. Even with the swagger waning, the Jets are still a capable bunch. With so much on the line, I expect a spirited effort on the part of the Jets, especially their defense. This game has all the trappings of a last minute field goal victory by either team. Therefore, I strongly recommend taking the Jets and the points (+6). Tomorrow's Game of the Year part two release: Jets +6.
Ravens -1.5 over Saints. Classic overreaction game. The Saints have started to click offensively during the past six weeks and are now back as one of the sexy picks to come out of the NFC. What gets lost is how lucky the Saints were to beat both the Cowboys and Bengals in two of the past three weeks. Defensively the Saints are giving up way too many points. After falling asleep at the wheel in last weeks win over the Texans, one should expect to see a more focused Ravens defense. I expect this to be a statement game where the Ravens impose their will and smack the Saints around. Ravens -1.5 over the Saints.
Saturday, December 18, 2010
Friday, December 10, 2010
Post Party.......
In an effort to regain my sanity following last night's abomination, I am embarking upon operation crash and burn. Recent history suggests that following heartbreaking defeats, such as last night, Propick responds like a champion. With the help of Big Guy I present to you Friday's winners.
Fairfield +5 over Siena. According to the Big Guy, this isn't your father's Siena squad. With alot of young players on this years team, Siena has struggled mightily. While the line is begging you to take Fairfield with the five points over a 2-5 Siena team (0-3 at home), this is one instance where you should follow the common man. Old habits die hard and despite their NCAA tournament success in recent years, Siena is a rebuilding squad. Tonight's release....Fairfield +5 over Siena.
Wizards +4 over the Knicks. Despite their recent success on the road, I would hardly start referring to the Knicks as "road warriors". While the Knicks have made great strides over the past year, do not buy into the hype just yet. If there was ever a time for the Knicks to lay a proverbial egg, tonight is the night. As putrid as this Wizards squad might be, take the points and thank me in the morning. Wizards +4 over the Knicks.
Kudos to Marxy for another solid outing last night. While yours truly was experiencing vertigo courtesy of the Titans backdoor cover, Marxy decided to take the downtown party scene by storm. After hitting an open bar reunion event, Marxy decided that all you can drink was a "little low brow". As a result, Marxy headed to an undisclosed location in the meatpacking district with several lady friends and proceeded to take down some top shelf champagne. Unfortunately for Marxy, women in New York appear to take offense when you call them by the wrong name. Furthermore, when you continually call them by the wrong name, they eventually leave. No harm, No foul.
Fairfield +5 over Siena. According to the Big Guy, this isn't your father's Siena squad. With alot of young players on this years team, Siena has struggled mightily. While the line is begging you to take Fairfield with the five points over a 2-5 Siena team (0-3 at home), this is one instance where you should follow the common man. Old habits die hard and despite their NCAA tournament success in recent years, Siena is a rebuilding squad. Tonight's release....Fairfield +5 over Siena.
Wizards +4 over the Knicks. Despite their recent success on the road, I would hardly start referring to the Knicks as "road warriors". While the Knicks have made great strides over the past year, do not buy into the hype just yet. If there was ever a time for the Knicks to lay a proverbial egg, tonight is the night. As putrid as this Wizards squad might be, take the points and thank me in the morning. Wizards +4 over the Knicks.
Kudos to Marxy for another solid outing last night. While yours truly was experiencing vertigo courtesy of the Titans backdoor cover, Marxy decided to take the downtown party scene by storm. After hitting an open bar reunion event, Marxy decided that all you can drink was a "little low brow". As a result, Marxy headed to an undisclosed location in the meatpacking district with several lady friends and proceeded to take down some top shelf champagne. Unfortunately for Marxy, women in New York appear to take offense when you call them by the wrong name. Furthermore, when you continually call them by the wrong name, they eventually leave. No harm, No foul.
Thursday, December 9, 2010
Prison Raped......
There is no gentler way to phrase what transpired tonight. After jumping out to a 21-0 lead, I felt secure that the struggling Colts would find a way to hold off the Titans and easily cover the 3 points. However, what I forgot to take into account was the fact that Peyton Manning and his cast of losers are the worst team against the spread (ATS), in the history of professional sports. What really irks me is the fact that this dopey horse face will be lauded for beating a crappy Titans team. You want to know the difference between Brady and Manning(aside from the obvious multiple Super Bowl rings and smoking hot wife)? How about the fact that Brady is a covering machine. I swear if I see another dopey commercial featuring Peyton Manning I will throw my television set down 72nd street. This guy was a stats compiler in college and has haunted my house ever since. As for the Colts defense, they just suck. Giving up a touchdown with four seconds left makes me despise this whole organization even more.
Butler lost by 2 points and I was catching 1.5. If this is a foreshadowing of how the holidays are gonna shape up- just shoot me now. Whatever was done to offend the gaming gods I apologize a thousand times over. On a positive note, at least the girl I am seeing isn't banging the mailman.
Butler lost by 2 points and I was catching 1.5. If this is a foreshadowing of how the holidays are gonna shape up- just shoot me now. Whatever was done to offend the gaming gods I apologize a thousand times over. On a positive note, at least the girl I am seeing isn't banging the mailman.
Big Guy's Been Smooth....
Since days of underoos. Congratulations to our resident mid major college roundball maven, Big Guy. Last night's inuagural Propick Sports Services release featured the Tarheels of North Carolina over Evansville. In typical Big Guy fashion, the game was over by halftime and he was able to get a little "honeymoon hump" in before focusing on tonight's lines. After logging in a congratulatory phone call following this blowout release, I was told: "Propick I appreciate the thanks but remember, lets act like we've done this before". Well said.
Admittedly tonight's college hoops card is lackluster at best. After perusing through a few lines, Big Guy texted me back "tonights action is weak, I will gear up for my weekly Friday Night MAAC lock of the week". However, within five minutes a follow up text appeared "Butler +1.5 at Xavier". Despite all attempts to adhere to his strict discipline, Big Guy went crackhead on us and decided to shower the loyal Propick fanbase with some Thursday night love. Remember, this is the same guy who has nailed the Iona College vs. Siena game ten straight times(including games played despite blizzard conditions outside the arenas). According to BG's proprietary model, Butler is a 5.5 favorite but with Xavier's decided home court edge this brings the line down to 2.5. With the current line at Butler +1.5 points, this represents deep value. Tonight' release....Butler +1.5 over Xavier.
Last Night's dramatic win by the Knicks over the Raptors was significant on a number of levels. However, the real highlight of the night was getting to sit courtside with local favorite/cultural icon, Marxy. With a group full of stiff's looking to "be seen" sitting nearby, Marxy decided to take his game up a few notches by ordering beers aggressively. Following Felton's game wnning three point shot, Marxy ordered up the White limo and took us downtown. While this is par for the course on any given Wednesday night, it was more impressive considering that Marxy has a charity-reunion event tonight, followed by a date Friday, then an out of town wedding this weekend. When asked "what part of the wedding are you looking most forward to?" Marxy replied "the three hour downtime between the ceremony and the reception. Sitting around in a tux for three hours in an unfamilar city can only mean one thing: cougars and booze. What am I supposed to do, go back and take a nap in my hotel room?". Absolutely not my friend. We at Propick are expecting great things out of you this weekend. However, please no repeat performances of Florida 2005 when you almost landed on the wedding cake during the best man's speech.
Admittedly tonight's college hoops card is lackluster at best. After perusing through a few lines, Big Guy texted me back "tonights action is weak, I will gear up for my weekly Friday Night MAAC lock of the week". However, within five minutes a follow up text appeared "Butler +1.5 at Xavier". Despite all attempts to adhere to his strict discipline, Big Guy went crackhead on us and decided to shower the loyal Propick fanbase with some Thursday night love. Remember, this is the same guy who has nailed the Iona College vs. Siena game ten straight times(including games played despite blizzard conditions outside the arenas). According to BG's proprietary model, Butler is a 5.5 favorite but with Xavier's decided home court edge this brings the line down to 2.5. With the current line at Butler +1.5 points, this represents deep value. Tonight' release....Butler +1.5 over Xavier.
Last Night's dramatic win by the Knicks over the Raptors was significant on a number of levels. However, the real highlight of the night was getting to sit courtside with local favorite/cultural icon, Marxy. With a group full of stiff's looking to "be seen" sitting nearby, Marxy decided to take his game up a few notches by ordering beers aggressively. Following Felton's game wnning three point shot, Marxy ordered up the White limo and took us downtown. While this is par for the course on any given Wednesday night, it was more impressive considering that Marxy has a charity-reunion event tonight, followed by a date Friday, then an out of town wedding this weekend. When asked "what part of the wedding are you looking most forward to?" Marxy replied "the three hour downtime between the ceremony and the reception. Sitting around in a tux for three hours in an unfamilar city can only mean one thing: cougars and booze. What am I supposed to do, go back and take a nap in my hotel room?". Absolutely not my friend. We at Propick are expecting great things out of you this weekend. However, please no repeat performances of Florida 2005 when you almost landed on the wedding cake during the best man's speech.
Wednesday, December 8, 2010
Dream Team.........
After signing legendary hoops junkie M. "Big Daddy" Powell last week, I thought that Propick had managed to assemble the single greatest sports handicapping think tank known to man. However, rather than sitting on our laurels, we at Propick got aggressive and managed to sign one of the greatest mid major college handicappers of this or any other generation. In all fairness, the one minor chink in the armour over the past few seasons, has been the lack of a true presence within the smaller college basketball circles. As of December 8, 2010 this position has been filled in spectacular fashion.
Enter "Big Guy". As a result of his high profile throughout the tri state area(and his marriage to a pretty hot chick), we will refer to this mid major "Rain Man" only as Big guy. Despite possessing a near genius IQ, Big Guy prefers to focus on the big picture: sports handicapping. While many of his peers have set out to become masters of the universe, Big Guy prefers breaking down mismatches while aggressively taking down a meatball parm hero in his signature black velour tracksuit. Despite his near 70 percent hit ratio over the past four seasons in college basketball, Big Guy is somewhat shrouded in mystery when it comes to recognition amongst his peers. Some have compared him to a virtuouso who prefers to toil in anonymity, while the gaming hucksters shout from their rooftops. Once compared to Magic Johnson for his ability to "Dish out winners like confetti at the Puerto Rican Parade", Big Guy took slight offense noting that: he has a completely clean bill of health.
Last night Big Guy released St. Bonies outright over a lackluster St. John's squad who was laying 14 points. Due to a massage appointment I had, this play was never put up in lights. After a long dialogue this morning, I decided that rather than let another year pass, now was the time to get Big Guy on the Propick team. With a lack of anything truly appealing on tonight's dance card, I held the proverbial gun to his head and demanded a winner. In an effort to give the fans what they want, Big Guy's highly anticipated debut has arrived......UNC-9 at Evansville.
Enter "Big Guy". As a result of his high profile throughout the tri state area(and his marriage to a pretty hot chick), we will refer to this mid major "Rain Man" only as Big guy. Despite possessing a near genius IQ, Big Guy prefers to focus on the big picture: sports handicapping. While many of his peers have set out to become masters of the universe, Big Guy prefers breaking down mismatches while aggressively taking down a meatball parm hero in his signature black velour tracksuit. Despite his near 70 percent hit ratio over the past four seasons in college basketball, Big Guy is somewhat shrouded in mystery when it comes to recognition amongst his peers. Some have compared him to a virtuouso who prefers to toil in anonymity, while the gaming hucksters shout from their rooftops. Once compared to Magic Johnson for his ability to "Dish out winners like confetti at the Puerto Rican Parade", Big Guy took slight offense noting that: he has a completely clean bill of health.
Last night Big Guy released St. Bonies outright over a lackluster St. John's squad who was laying 14 points. Due to a massage appointment I had, this play was never put up in lights. After a long dialogue this morning, I decided that rather than let another year pass, now was the time to get Big Guy on the Propick team. With a lack of anything truly appealing on tonight's dance card, I held the proverbial gun to his head and demanded a winner. In an effort to give the fans what they want, Big Guy's highly anticipated debut has arrived......UNC-9 at Evansville.
Friday, December 3, 2010
Shirt of The Year........
With Christmas a mere three weeks away, I am releasing my NFL Game of The Year this weekend, as a way of making sure my fans and their families are taken care of for the holidays. After a rough start to the week, I find myself in complete lockdown mode.
Game of The Year:
Tampa Bay +3 over Atlanta. Everyone and their brother is on the Falcons this week. At 9-2, Atlanta is widely regarded as the cream of the NFC crop. However, what gets lost in all this is how much better Atlanta plays at home versus on the road. Furthermore, the Falcons always seem to play close games. With this as a backdrop I will adhere to my core discipline and take the home division dog plus the points in this one. My time tested statistical model predicts Tampa Bay to win outright so you may want to consider throwing down some shekels on the moneyline as well.
Detroit +5 over Chicago. Same theme involving a home dog in a divisional game between old rivals. Despite sitting at 2-9 for the season, the Lions have played hard in every game. In addition, the Bears are one of the weakest 8-3 teams in recent memory. Although one must respect the Bears, one does not have to lay five points on the road. Remember last week when the world was in love with the Eagles? This is a similar scenario. The common man is all aboard the Bears express and can be seen at a bar near you, wearing a vintage Jim McMahon jersey. Fade the public and take the Lions +5 over the Bears.
Besides providing top notch handicapping advice, Propick has also carefully crafted an image that extends beyond the sports arena. However, last night that image took a "turn for the worse" so to speak. After being told by a lovely twenty three year old woman that: guys my age(mid/late 30's), are set in their ways, I decided to make amends. Unfortunately after a few too many pops, I found myself half naked on this woman's couch at 5:30 in the morning. Besides the obvious major headache, there was also the embarrassment factor that involved the potential of her roomate awakening to this "buffoonish scene". Not exactly the way for a nice southern girl to start her day.
On a side note, local fan favorite Marxy has taken his act up a few notches yet again. After a work week that rivals that of a sweatshop(good thing Marxy is not being paid by the hour), Marxy decided to head out last night and throw back a few.....and then some more for good measure! Upon realizing that it was casual Friday, Marxy decided to push the envelope so to speak, by donning one of his favorite party shirts. While the shirt is button down long sleave, it hardly constitutes "corporate", unless of course you are in the party promotion business. Upon a visit to the trading desk, Marxy was greeted with a room full of high fives and an exclamation from one over zealous trader "that is the shirt of the year". After graciously accepting the applause, Marxy let it be known that he has a closet full of these shirts and that co-workers can expect alot more of where that came from.
Game of The Year:
Tampa Bay +3 over Atlanta. Everyone and their brother is on the Falcons this week. At 9-2, Atlanta is widely regarded as the cream of the NFC crop. However, what gets lost in all this is how much better Atlanta plays at home versus on the road. Furthermore, the Falcons always seem to play close games. With this as a backdrop I will adhere to my core discipline and take the home division dog plus the points in this one. My time tested statistical model predicts Tampa Bay to win outright so you may want to consider throwing down some shekels on the moneyline as well.
Detroit +5 over Chicago. Same theme involving a home dog in a divisional game between old rivals. Despite sitting at 2-9 for the season, the Lions have played hard in every game. In addition, the Bears are one of the weakest 8-3 teams in recent memory. Although one must respect the Bears, one does not have to lay five points on the road. Remember last week when the world was in love with the Eagles? This is a similar scenario. The common man is all aboard the Bears express and can be seen at a bar near you, wearing a vintage Jim McMahon jersey. Fade the public and take the Lions +5 over the Bears.
Besides providing top notch handicapping advice, Propick has also carefully crafted an image that extends beyond the sports arena. However, last night that image took a "turn for the worse" so to speak. After being told by a lovely twenty three year old woman that: guys my age(mid/late 30's), are set in their ways, I decided to make amends. Unfortunately after a few too many pops, I found myself half naked on this woman's couch at 5:30 in the morning. Besides the obvious major headache, there was also the embarrassment factor that involved the potential of her roomate awakening to this "buffoonish scene". Not exactly the way for a nice southern girl to start her day.
On a side note, local fan favorite Marxy has taken his act up a few notches yet again. After a work week that rivals that of a sweatshop(good thing Marxy is not being paid by the hour), Marxy decided to head out last night and throw back a few.....and then some more for good measure! Upon realizing that it was casual Friday, Marxy decided to push the envelope so to speak, by donning one of his favorite party shirts. While the shirt is button down long sleave, it hardly constitutes "corporate", unless of course you are in the party promotion business. Upon a visit to the trading desk, Marxy was greeted with a room full of high fives and an exclamation from one over zealous trader "that is the shirt of the year". After graciously accepting the applause, Marxy let it be known that he has a closet full of these shirts and that co-workers can expect alot more of where that came from.
Tuesday, November 30, 2010
I'm Serious About This Sh-t!!!
Kudos to Arizona Cadinals Quarterback Derek Anderson for his post game blow up last night at reporters following an embarrassing loss and even more deplorable performance on his part. As if losing to the common man was not bad enough (I received texts all night reminding me of how easy this 49ers play was), I had to suffer the indignation of seeing Derek Anderson laughing on the sidelines as his team was getting their asses kicked. Personally I could care less if this guy chooses to laugh his balls off post game, just don't rub it in my face that you could give a damn while the game is still going on. That being said, his feigned anger post game was laudable as he stormed off the podium after being badgered over his in game antics on the sideline.
After last night's "Epic Fail" courtesy of the Cardinals, I am yielding the floor to former collegiate Division 1 hoops star and newest Propick hoops analyst Michael Powell. The big Kat (or White Chocolate), as the ladies call him is releasing Mizzouri +1 at home against Georgetown. White chocolate's proprietary model suggests a slight lean towards Georgetown on a neutral court but due to the "situational" advantages that Mizzouri has going for them at home, this one is a no brainer. As Powell notes, Georgetown has tremendous athletic ability up and down their bench, however this team has not yet been tested and will miss the presence of Greg Monroe. Tonight's release.....Mizzouri +1 over Georgetown.
After hearing unconfirmed rumors circulating that all world quarterback and matinee idol Tom Brady has hair plugs, I thought it was imperative for me to issue a statement on behalf of one of New York's most eligible bachelors, Marxy. While Marxy may drop close to two bills every time his "european" stylist grabs a hold of the scissors, rest assured ladies, the flowing mane is real. When pressed for a comment regarding Brady's hair, Marxy simply took the high road by replying "the guys gotten a ton of tail, he cold wear a rroad kill on his head and it wouldn't matter".
After last night's "Epic Fail" courtesy of the Cardinals, I am yielding the floor to former collegiate Division 1 hoops star and newest Propick hoops analyst Michael Powell. The big Kat (or White Chocolate), as the ladies call him is releasing Mizzouri +1 at home against Georgetown. White chocolate's proprietary model suggests a slight lean towards Georgetown on a neutral court but due to the "situational" advantages that Mizzouri has going for them at home, this one is a no brainer. As Powell notes, Georgetown has tremendous athletic ability up and down their bench, however this team has not yet been tested and will miss the presence of Greg Monroe. Tonight's release.....Mizzouri +1 over Georgetown.
After hearing unconfirmed rumors circulating that all world quarterback and matinee idol Tom Brady has hair plugs, I thought it was imperative for me to issue a statement on behalf of one of New York's most eligible bachelors, Marxy. While Marxy may drop close to two bills every time his "european" stylist grabs a hold of the scissors, rest assured ladies, the flowing mane is real. When pressed for a comment regarding Brady's hair, Marxy simply took the high road by replying "the guys gotten a ton of tail, he cold wear a rroad kill on his head and it wouldn't matter".
Monday, November 29, 2010
Perfect Practice.......
With five weeks left in the regular season, this is truly put up or shut up time throughout the NFL. More importantly, this is the time of year when Propick elevates his game along the lines of: Brady, Manning, Marxy, etc. After a few crackheaded teasers came in yesterday (courtesy of my new lucky friend), I escaped what could have been a losing weekend thanks to dramatic wins by the Giants and Steelers. Whenever a streak emerges from a lackluster weekend of games, it is time to make a push and that push starts tonight.
In what could best be described as "a degenerates delight", the San Francisco 49ers find themselves visiting the Arizona Cardinals in tonight's Monday Night Football game of the year. After taking a look at the upcoming weekend lines, I was tempted to pass on this game but instead, thought long and hard about the type of people I would be alienating. Everyone who got blistered this weekend is trying to decipher which of these 3-7 teams has an edge and in the process, how they can make all their money back. So far, I have heard the common man speak and quite frankly, it disturbs me. People, this is the time to adhere to your discipline. While a discipline can sometimes fail you, hopping on board the common man express can be suicidal from a financial standpoint.
The best 3-7 team around. This is one of the common man phrases that has been used to describe the 49ers. You know the guy: fat and bald who talks about "that really hot chick who was into me but I had to leave the bar, had to get up early the next day for work". Guess what? Would've, could've, and should've doesn't pay the bills fatso. The fact that the word "best" can be attributed to a team with seven losses, who plays in the worst division in the history of professional sports, is absolutely ludacris. With this much fervor on the part of the common man I will run (not walk) away from the 49ers tonight. Regardless of the outcome I can rest assured that I will not find myself awake at 4am wondering why "Derek Anderson was able to torch a 49ers secondary, who despite being awful, has talent. Tonight's play......Cardinals +2 over the "talented but underacheiving 49ers".
After hosting a conference call this morning with Marxy, I was once again reminded of how critical a month December is. After some innocuous bullshitting with regards to the weekend, Marxy let it be known that "I own this upcoming month". Before I could even reply "thoughts about tonight's Mavs-Rockets game"?, Marxy informed me that this weekend's mini sabatical from the nightlife would serve him well during holiday party crunch time. While many of us are crying "uncle" on a Monday night after a week long crash course, it will be Marxy saluting bartenders and patrons alike, wondering where all the competition went. As Marxy is fond of saying, "perfect practice, makes perfect partying" and my favorite "life is not a test run". In honor of December Marxy has released the Rockets +9 over the Mavs tonight in the NBA.
In what could best be described as "a degenerates delight", the San Francisco 49ers find themselves visiting the Arizona Cardinals in tonight's Monday Night Football game of the year. After taking a look at the upcoming weekend lines, I was tempted to pass on this game but instead, thought long and hard about the type of people I would be alienating. Everyone who got blistered this weekend is trying to decipher which of these 3-7 teams has an edge and in the process, how they can make all their money back. So far, I have heard the common man speak and quite frankly, it disturbs me. People, this is the time to adhere to your discipline. While a discipline can sometimes fail you, hopping on board the common man express can be suicidal from a financial standpoint.
The best 3-7 team around. This is one of the common man phrases that has been used to describe the 49ers. You know the guy: fat and bald who talks about "that really hot chick who was into me but I had to leave the bar, had to get up early the next day for work". Guess what? Would've, could've, and should've doesn't pay the bills fatso. The fact that the word "best" can be attributed to a team with seven losses, who plays in the worst division in the history of professional sports, is absolutely ludacris. With this much fervor on the part of the common man I will run (not walk) away from the 49ers tonight. Regardless of the outcome I can rest assured that I will not find myself awake at 4am wondering why "Derek Anderson was able to torch a 49ers secondary, who despite being awful, has talent. Tonight's play......Cardinals +2 over the "talented but underacheiving 49ers".
After hosting a conference call this morning with Marxy, I was once again reminded of how critical a month December is. After some innocuous bullshitting with regards to the weekend, Marxy let it be known that "I own this upcoming month". Before I could even reply "thoughts about tonight's Mavs-Rockets game"?, Marxy informed me that this weekend's mini sabatical from the nightlife would serve him well during holiday party crunch time. While many of us are crying "uncle" on a Monday night after a week long crash course, it will be Marxy saluting bartenders and patrons alike, wondering where all the competition went. As Marxy is fond of saying, "perfect practice, makes perfect partying" and my favorite "life is not a test run". In honor of December Marxy has released the Rockets +9 over the Mavs tonight in the NBA.
Wednesday, November 24, 2010
Bender Anyone?????
With a long weekend ahead of us, most of my colleagues are looking forward to sitting back and enjoying their time off. Unfortunately, Propick Sports Inc. has been working overtime trying to dissect these early pro and college football games. Without further adieu, here are tomorrow's winners.
Lions +7 over the Patriots. This is heresy. Betting against Brady and little Bill is the equivalent of handicapping suicide. That being said, the Lions catching a touchdown at home on turkey day is too much to pass up. This is purely a contrarian play. Although the Lions are a tough out at home, this is not my main reason for releasing them tomorrow. With over 80 percent of the gaming public playing the Patriots one can only ask "are eight out of every ten people going to be right on this one?". The last time this many people were on the same ship it was called the Titanic and we all know how that one ended. Hold your nose, close your eyes, and take the Lions.
Dallas +3.5 over New Orleans. Much to the chagrin of my team of statistical analysts, I cannot help but side with the Cowboys. While both teams have played much better as of late, the Saints are without a doubt the public's team in this matchup. With the Saints getting healthier and Drew Breeze regaining his MVP form, conventional wisdom suggests that the Saints will cover this game in relatively easy fashion. However, this is a short week and Dallas applies very favorably to this particular backdrop. Furthermore, Dallas' physical defense manhandled the Saints, in their previous meeting last December.
I would be remiss if I failed to give some much deserved credit to New York City's cultural icon, Marxy. After running the NYC marathon at a time of 2:45, Marxy managed to throw down about fourteen drinks, while entertaining a bevy of young babes. While impressive, nothing could hold a candle to this past weekend's performance which involved "relieving" himself during a walk down Lexington avenue, while conducting a conversation (talk about multi tasking). After an appearance at a charity function, Marxy decided to keep the night going by closing down several of the city's best known haunts. At one point Marxy turned to me and said "We haven't even hit the December bender period yet. Can you imagine what that will be like?" No Marxy, I cannot. As your brother often says "I have no bids for any of your stories". With all due respect, we at Propick have nothing but bids for these stories. Keep em coming......
Lions +7 over the Patriots. This is heresy. Betting against Brady and little Bill is the equivalent of handicapping suicide. That being said, the Lions catching a touchdown at home on turkey day is too much to pass up. This is purely a contrarian play. Although the Lions are a tough out at home, this is not my main reason for releasing them tomorrow. With over 80 percent of the gaming public playing the Patriots one can only ask "are eight out of every ten people going to be right on this one?". The last time this many people were on the same ship it was called the Titanic and we all know how that one ended. Hold your nose, close your eyes, and take the Lions.
Dallas +3.5 over New Orleans. Much to the chagrin of my team of statistical analysts, I cannot help but side with the Cowboys. While both teams have played much better as of late, the Saints are without a doubt the public's team in this matchup. With the Saints getting healthier and Drew Breeze regaining his MVP form, conventional wisdom suggests that the Saints will cover this game in relatively easy fashion. However, this is a short week and Dallas applies very favorably to this particular backdrop. Furthermore, Dallas' physical defense manhandled the Saints, in their previous meeting last December.
I would be remiss if I failed to give some much deserved credit to New York City's cultural icon, Marxy. After running the NYC marathon at a time of 2:45, Marxy managed to throw down about fourteen drinks, while entertaining a bevy of young babes. While impressive, nothing could hold a candle to this past weekend's performance which involved "relieving" himself during a walk down Lexington avenue, while conducting a conversation (talk about multi tasking). After an appearance at a charity function, Marxy decided to keep the night going by closing down several of the city's best known haunts. At one point Marxy turned to me and said "We haven't even hit the December bender period yet. Can you imagine what that will be like?" No Marxy, I cannot. As your brother often says "I have no bids for any of your stories". With all due respect, we at Propick have nothing but bids for these stories. Keep em coming......
Tuesday, November 23, 2010
A Time For Thanks.....
After a brief hiatus from blogging, I am back with a new found passion. Not since my epic 2006-07 Bowl Season run(Boise State over Oklahoma moneyline and +7, Florida moneyline over Ohio State), have I felt this in the zone. Furthermore, the Propick team has really upped their collective game, thanks in part to Mike "Big Daddy" Powell and Boston cultural legend JWhip. Both Powell and Jwhip have finely honed their college and NBA gaming acumen and have been dropping winners like confetti at the Puerto Rican Day Parade.
For those of you living under a rock the past few years both Big Daddy and JWhip are former College athletes. While Whip tortured defensive backs up and down the east coast (yes, he was that dude wearing #7), Powell was busy posterizing opposing small forwards during his division I reign of terror in the early-mid 1990's. Why is this relevant? As a result of their past athletic success, both these men aspire to conquer the world of sports handicapping. Now please do not get carried away, neither of these men are in the class of myself, however they are pretty damn close.
After scouring tonight's matchups I found two NBA contests that should deliver the goods. With Thanksgiving just two days away, I feel the added burden which comes with the trappings of my recent success. Knicks -2.5 over the Bobcats. The Knicks eventually need to play better at home and who better to beat up on than the lowly Bobcats? Furthermore, expect point guard Raymond Felton to unleash a can of whoop ass on his old team, who dropped him like a bad rash.
Cavaliers +5 over Indiana. The common man can hardly contain himself upon seeing this line. Let us review: last night Indiana beat up on Miami, on the road no less and now are back home playing the pourous Cavs. Using such OBVIOUS logic, the common man can only draw one illogical conclusion....Indiana should win by twenty. Listen, if life was this easy everyone would be rich. The discipline is to fade concensus and that means takings the Cavs +5 tonight.
For those of you living under a rock the past few years both Big Daddy and JWhip are former College athletes. While Whip tortured defensive backs up and down the east coast (yes, he was that dude wearing #7), Powell was busy posterizing opposing small forwards during his division I reign of terror in the early-mid 1990's. Why is this relevant? As a result of their past athletic success, both these men aspire to conquer the world of sports handicapping. Now please do not get carried away, neither of these men are in the class of myself, however they are pretty damn close.
After scouring tonight's matchups I found two NBA contests that should deliver the goods. With Thanksgiving just two days away, I feel the added burden which comes with the trappings of my recent success. Knicks -2.5 over the Bobcats. The Knicks eventually need to play better at home and who better to beat up on than the lowly Bobcats? Furthermore, expect point guard Raymond Felton to unleash a can of whoop ass on his old team, who dropped him like a bad rash.
Cavaliers +5 over Indiana. The common man can hardly contain himself upon seeing this line. Let us review: last night Indiana beat up on Miami, on the road no less and now are back home playing the pourous Cavs. Using such OBVIOUS logic, the common man can only draw one illogical conclusion....Indiana should win by twenty. Listen, if life was this easy everyone would be rich. The discipline is to fade concensus and that means takings the Cavs +5 tonight.
Wednesday, November 17, 2010
Bowling For Dinero......
After getting blown out of the water with yesterday's Florida vs. Ohio State loss, I am officially putting Florida in the penalty box until further notice. As talented as the Buckeyes are, the Gators second half meltdown does not bode well for coach Donavan's squad going forward. A lack of poise combined with a coach who has failed to accomplish anything in almost four years is something which should concern all Gator fans. Call it an overreaction on my part but this effort(or lack thereof), is not indicative of a top 25 team.
Tonight's mismatch in college football features the 6-4 Toledo Rockets hosting the abysmal 2-8 Bowling Green Falcons. Let me first say that unless you have a gambling problem or are completely devoid of a social life, there is absolutely no excuse for watching this game. That being said, for those of us who meet the aforementioned criteria here we go. Despite their subpar season, Toledo is still towards the top of a lousy conference and will look to bounce back from their blowout loss at the hands of Northern Illinois last week. Furthermore, Bowling Green is just porous on both sides of the ball and should have trouble stopping a half way decent team like Toledo. At -10.5, this line offers fair value. In fact, I would lay up to -13 with Toledo in anticipation of a blowout win. Tonight's release.....Toledo -10.5 over Bowling Green.
Tonight's mismatch in college football features the 6-4 Toledo Rockets hosting the abysmal 2-8 Bowling Green Falcons. Let me first say that unless you have a gambling problem or are completely devoid of a social life, there is absolutely no excuse for watching this game. That being said, for those of us who meet the aforementioned criteria here we go. Despite their subpar season, Toledo is still towards the top of a lousy conference and will look to bounce back from their blowout loss at the hands of Northern Illinois last week. Furthermore, Bowling Green is just porous on both sides of the ball and should have trouble stopping a half way decent team like Toledo. At -10.5, this line offers fair value. In fact, I would lay up to -13 with Toledo in anticipation of a blowout win. Tonight's release.....Toledo -10.5 over Bowling Green.
Tuesday, November 16, 2010
That Time of Year Again.....
In full disclosure, I have not yet put forth the mandatory effort with regards to analyzing the college hoops season. Besides a cursory glance at a few statistical trends and returning starters on major division I college teams, the crux of my research has been put on hold until the end of both the college and pro football seasons. That being said, there is still money to be made and I plan on littering my fan base with luccini falling from the sky.
Tonight's marquee matchup featuring the Ohio Sate Buckeyes and Florida Gators is a battle of two top ten teams. While Ohio State has had more success in recent years, (the Florida program has fallen off a cliff post 2006/2007 National Championship titles), things appear to have taken a turn for the better in Gainesville. With Buckeye star Evan Turner now playing for the NBA's 76ers, this Buckeye squad will need to find ways to compensate for his departure. Meanwhile, the Gators have a group of players who are finally coming into their own and should make a quantum leap this season.
With the Gators -2 at home, I will side with the overwhelming early season statistical trend that favors the home team in games between two evenly matched programs. Tonight's release.....Gators -2 over Ohio State.
Tonight's marquee matchup featuring the Ohio Sate Buckeyes and Florida Gators is a battle of two top ten teams. While Ohio State has had more success in recent years, (the Florida program has fallen off a cliff post 2006/2007 National Championship titles), things appear to have taken a turn for the better in Gainesville. With Buckeye star Evan Turner now playing for the NBA's 76ers, this Buckeye squad will need to find ways to compensate for his departure. Meanwhile, the Gators have a group of players who are finally coming into their own and should make a quantum leap this season.
With the Gators -2 at home, I will side with the overwhelming early season statistical trend that favors the home team in games between two evenly matched programs. Tonight's release.....Gators -2 over Ohio State.
Monday, November 15, 2010
Greatest Sports Handicappers......
After being invited to a private screening of an upcoming independent film on legendary sports handicappers, I had an epiphany. What better idea then for Propick to release a memoir either in the form of a novel or more realistically, a high octane docudrama known as my sports handicapping career?
Despite this particular movie's plot being interesting, this was a story that has been recanted a million times over. While the average square might find the predictable story about some dope going on an ill advised gaming bender until he eventually blows himself up in the form of a blown marriage and unfathomable debt, must see cinema, it did very little for me. If someone really wants to send chills down their spine and experience sleepless nights, then stay tuned for "Propick: A Life on the Edge". Bankrolls, nefarious underworld characters, ladies of "ill refute", high end businessmen who can't pick a winner to save their lives, and above all the double lives of those close to us all. Shallow waters run deep.......
After crushing it this weekend with my prescient Cowboys and Patriots plays, I must give praise to the gaming god's who oversaw my Jets overtime cover. In all my years of gaming, rarely have I ever experienced such deep rooted joy. Furthermore, the real joy took place post game as I rolled through Gotham in a vintage white limousine (limo-seen). All that was missing was a pair of vintage white Gucci's but rest assured, I was decked out in my Sergio Taccini track suit circa 1988. Oh what a night!
Tonight's game between the Phoenix Suns and the Denver Nuggets is the definition of "trappy". The Suns just came off a hard fought win over the Lakers last night and return home to face a more talented and rested Dever squad. Initial instinct is to take Denver to win this one in a laugher. However, with the line Denver +2, Vegas is begging you to take the Nuggets. Furthermore, the favorite in this series is 12-3-1 in their lst fifteen games head to head. Couple that with the Suns recent dominance of the Nuggets in Phoenix and I will side take the Suns, despite coming off an emotional win in LA. Tonight's play.....Suns -2 over Denver.
Despite this particular movie's plot being interesting, this was a story that has been recanted a million times over. While the average square might find the predictable story about some dope going on an ill advised gaming bender until he eventually blows himself up in the form of a blown marriage and unfathomable debt, must see cinema, it did very little for me. If someone really wants to send chills down their spine and experience sleepless nights, then stay tuned for "Propick: A Life on the Edge". Bankrolls, nefarious underworld characters, ladies of "ill refute", high end businessmen who can't pick a winner to save their lives, and above all the double lives of those close to us all. Shallow waters run deep.......
After crushing it this weekend with my prescient Cowboys and Patriots plays, I must give praise to the gaming god's who oversaw my Jets overtime cover. In all my years of gaming, rarely have I ever experienced such deep rooted joy. Furthermore, the real joy took place post game as I rolled through Gotham in a vintage white limousine (limo-seen). All that was missing was a pair of vintage white Gucci's but rest assured, I was decked out in my Sergio Taccini track suit circa 1988. Oh what a night!
Tonight's game between the Phoenix Suns and the Denver Nuggets is the definition of "trappy". The Suns just came off a hard fought win over the Lakers last night and return home to face a more talented and rested Dever squad. Initial instinct is to take Denver to win this one in a laugher. However, with the line Denver +2, Vegas is begging you to take the Nuggets. Furthermore, the favorite in this series is 12-3-1 in their lst fifteen games head to head. Couple that with the Suns recent dominance of the Nuggets in Phoenix and I will side take the Suns, despite coming off an emotional win in LA. Tonight's play.....Suns -2 over Denver.
Friday, November 12, 2010
Cowboy Up......
After a brief hiatus, as a show of respect for former Cowboys head coach and football luminary Wade Phillips, I am back with this weekend's winners. Following a very strange week in both college and pro football, I expect a return to some form of normalcy. In an effort to be as succinct as possible, here we go.
Jets -3 Over Cleveland. The Browns are coming together as a team and have posted some impressive victories in recent weeks, most notably the dismantling of the Saints and Patriots. However, this is a bad situation for the Browns. Although the Jets have put forth several lackluster efforts as of late, this is a tough matchup for the Browns. Unlike the Saints and Patriots, the Jets are a tenacious team who will shut down a potent Browns running game. Furthermore, rookie quarterback Colt McCoy will be running for his life and forced out of his comfort zone. The last team the Browns played that resembled this Jets team was the Steelers and Pittsburgh dominated them. Although I am no fan of the road favorite, not all road favorites are created equal. Take the Jets -3 over the Browns.
Cowboys +14 Over the Giants. When was the last time the Cowboys were 14 point underdogs in a game? The answer, 2001 when they were catching 17 against the Raiders. Make no mistake about it, the Cowboys are a collection of heartless losers. That said, this is a rivalry game and the Giants have several key injuries to their offensive line. While I have no doubt the Giants will emerge victorious, I prefer to take the two touchdowns in the event of a backdoor cover. Remember, if Dallas' talented but lazy defense shows up to play, Eli Manning could get knocked around behind several new starters on the offensive line. Does anyone expect the Giants to try and win by three touchdowns late in the fourth quarter? This is a classic risk/reward play. The release....Dallas +14.
Jets -3 Over Cleveland. The Browns are coming together as a team and have posted some impressive victories in recent weeks, most notably the dismantling of the Saints and Patriots. However, this is a bad situation for the Browns. Although the Jets have put forth several lackluster efforts as of late, this is a tough matchup for the Browns. Unlike the Saints and Patriots, the Jets are a tenacious team who will shut down a potent Browns running game. Furthermore, rookie quarterback Colt McCoy will be running for his life and forced out of his comfort zone. The last team the Browns played that resembled this Jets team was the Steelers and Pittsburgh dominated them. Although I am no fan of the road favorite, not all road favorites are created equal. Take the Jets -3 over the Browns.
Cowboys +14 Over the Giants. When was the last time the Cowboys were 14 point underdogs in a game? The answer, 2001 when they were catching 17 against the Raiders. Make no mistake about it, the Cowboys are a collection of heartless losers. That said, this is a rivalry game and the Giants have several key injuries to their offensive line. While I have no doubt the Giants will emerge victorious, I prefer to take the two touchdowns in the event of a backdoor cover. Remember, if Dallas' talented but lazy defense shows up to play, Eli Manning could get knocked around behind several new starters on the offensive line. Does anyone expect the Giants to try and win by three touchdowns late in the fourth quarter? This is a classic risk/reward play. The release....Dallas +14.
Monday, November 8, 2010
Hawaii Five O
Following the Jets Santonio Holmes overtime grab which would have led to a touchdown and subsequent six point win (more importantly the hooking of the book), I found myself experiencing the mother of all prison rapings as a Detroit Lions linebacker tracked him down to make a touchdown saving tackle. As a result, the Jets proceeded to run the ball right up the middle before knocking down the game winning overtime field goal. At that moment I could not help but question the bane of my existence. What was my costly error? Taking the road favorite. In this case I refused to adhere to my discipline and in the end, this cost me dearly.
Tonight's matchup between the Bengals and Steelers will no doubt feature the re- emergence of the common man. Throughout cities everywhere all one has to do is look around and spot the average dope wearing a big Ben or Hines Ward jersey. The Steelers are perhaps the best team in the league and feature the best overall balance of any team in the NFL. Factor in a loss to the Saints last week and the common man is chomping at the bits to lay the six points to this lousy Bengals team.
Last year the Bengals swept the Steelers and despite an abysmal start to the 2010 season, the Bengals did defeat the Baltimore Ravens in week two. While the Bengals are in complete disarray, I expect a spirited effort from this talented but undisciplined squad tonight. Although I am expecting the Steelers to pull out a victory, I will gladly take the Bengals and the points. The Release....Bengals +6 over the Steelers.
Congratulations to Marxy for running this years 2010 New York City Marathon in 2 hours and 46 minutes. In addition to braving the elements, specifically the wind, Marxy did so while wearing his trademark Hawaiian party shirt. As Marxy fist pumped his way through the five boroughs, the greatest display of support came from the good folks in Harlem who were enamored with his choice of attire. Chants of "run Hawaiian man run" served as a source of inspiration for the cultural icon best known for riding on the back of a garbage truck through the east village. Furthermore, when asked about the preparation that went into the race, Marxy merely replied "I was able to get a lot of practice runs in during the past few weeks and really cut down on the late night buffoonery". Well done Marxy, well done!
Tonight's matchup between the Bengals and Steelers will no doubt feature the re- emergence of the common man. Throughout cities everywhere all one has to do is look around and spot the average dope wearing a big Ben or Hines Ward jersey. The Steelers are perhaps the best team in the league and feature the best overall balance of any team in the NFL. Factor in a loss to the Saints last week and the common man is chomping at the bits to lay the six points to this lousy Bengals team.
Last year the Bengals swept the Steelers and despite an abysmal start to the 2010 season, the Bengals did defeat the Baltimore Ravens in week two. While the Bengals are in complete disarray, I expect a spirited effort from this talented but undisciplined squad tonight. Although I am expecting the Steelers to pull out a victory, I will gladly take the Bengals and the points. The Release....Bengals +6 over the Steelers.
Congratulations to Marxy for running this years 2010 New York City Marathon in 2 hours and 46 minutes. In addition to braving the elements, specifically the wind, Marxy did so while wearing his trademark Hawaiian party shirt. As Marxy fist pumped his way through the five boroughs, the greatest display of support came from the good folks in Harlem who were enamored with his choice of attire. Chants of "run Hawaiian man run" served as a source of inspiration for the cultural icon best known for riding on the back of a garbage truck through the east village. Furthermore, when asked about the preparation that went into the race, Marxy merely replied "I was able to get a lot of practice runs in during the past few weeks and really cut down on the late night buffoonery". Well done Marxy, well done!
Thursday, November 4, 2010
Techno Bowl......
Tonight's primetime ESPN college football game between the Virginia Tech Hokies and the Georgia Tech Yellow jackets features two of the more intruiging programs in the country. After a lackluster start to the year which included an opening game loss to Boise State followed by a shocking upset at the hands of James Madison, Virginia Tech has bounced back by winning and more importantly covering everyone of their last six games.
Georgia Tech has been somewhat enigmatic. Despite an impressive arsenal of offensive weapons and their triple option formation, the Yellow Jackets are 5-3 and a piss poor 3-5against the spread. That being said, the line opened with Georgia Tech catching 15 points before finally settling in at Georgia Tech +12.5. Considering the past two games between these teams resulted in margins of victory of only 5 and 3 points, this line appears to be out of whack. Furthermore, Georgia Tech's offense is difficult to prepare for since no one else in the ACC runs their triple option formation.
Can Virginia Tech cover this number? This line appears to be a misprint. Vegas knows how close these teams have played eahc other in past years and still, they are begging you to take Georgia Tech. Vegas and every "common man" on the planet is well aware of Georgia Tech's success running out of their triple option formation. What makes anyone confident that Virginia Tech will be able to shut this down? Here's the rub. Virginia Tech is coming off a bye week in which they have had two weeks to prepare for Georgia Tech's offense. In addition, the Hokies are playing at home on a Thursday night where they should enjoy an even greater homefield advantage. Most impressively, Virginia Tech is 14-4 in their last 18 games on Thursday night against the spread.
The Release. After weighing the pros and cons of this game, my initial gut instinct liked the points with Georgia Tech, while my math/situational model strongly favored Virginia Tech. If this line was Virginia Tech -8.5 up to -9.5, I would feel less confident about them. However, the sheer magnitude of this line makes me more convinced that the Hokies will win this game in convincing fashion. All signs point to a close game followed by Virginia Tech pulling away towards the end of the third quarter. With a tradition of stellar special teams play, look for the Hokies to capitalize on something along the lines of a blocked punt return or a kickoff return for a touchdown. Tonight's play.... Virginia Tech -12.5 over Georgia Tech.
Georgia Tech has been somewhat enigmatic. Despite an impressive arsenal of offensive weapons and their triple option formation, the Yellow Jackets are 5-3 and a piss poor 3-5against the spread. That being said, the line opened with Georgia Tech catching 15 points before finally settling in at Georgia Tech +12.5. Considering the past two games between these teams resulted in margins of victory of only 5 and 3 points, this line appears to be out of whack. Furthermore, Georgia Tech's offense is difficult to prepare for since no one else in the ACC runs their triple option formation.
Can Virginia Tech cover this number? This line appears to be a misprint. Vegas knows how close these teams have played eahc other in past years and still, they are begging you to take Georgia Tech. Vegas and every "common man" on the planet is well aware of Georgia Tech's success running out of their triple option formation. What makes anyone confident that Virginia Tech will be able to shut this down? Here's the rub. Virginia Tech is coming off a bye week in which they have had two weeks to prepare for Georgia Tech's offense. In addition, the Hokies are playing at home on a Thursday night where they should enjoy an even greater homefield advantage. Most impressively, Virginia Tech is 14-4 in their last 18 games on Thursday night against the spread.
The Release. After weighing the pros and cons of this game, my initial gut instinct liked the points with Georgia Tech, while my math/situational model strongly favored Virginia Tech. If this line was Virginia Tech -8.5 up to -9.5, I would feel less confident about them. However, the sheer magnitude of this line makes me more convinced that the Hokies will win this game in convincing fashion. All signs point to a close game followed by Virginia Tech pulling away towards the end of the third quarter. With a tradition of stellar special teams play, look for the Hokies to capitalize on something along the lines of a blocked punt return or a kickoff return for a touchdown. Tonight's play.... Virginia Tech -12.5 over Georgia Tech.
Monday, November 1, 2010
Dumbfounded....
Tonight's game five matchup between the Texas Rangers and San Francisco Giants features a rematch of the unexpected game one slugfest between Cliff Lee and Tim Lincecum. Unlike last Wednesday, when the Giants won an 11-7 contest, do not expect a repeat peformance from either team. After having four days rest, both Lee and Lincecum should be in their usual lockdown mode.
At Giants +159 the natural inclination is to jump all over them. With a comfortable three games to one lead, all the pressure has shifted to the Texas Rangers who are playing just to get the series back to San Francisco for game six. Furthermore, the Giants have the defending two time Cy Young award winner on the mound. Why wouldn't I bet the Giants?
This line stinks. I lean Giants because I expect both starting pitchers to be highly effective and go at least seven innings tonight. While the Giants possess a decided edge in the matchup of bullpens, Cliff Lee is more than capable of pitching a complete game. As a result, I will release the Under 6.5 in anticipation of a 3-2 type of game. When the series opened this same line was set at 5.5. Take advantage of the extra run that has been provided.
Much to the chagrin of Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones and fans everywhere, Wade Phillips has once again announced that he is "dumbfounded". Even more shocking is the need that he would continually have to make such an announcement. Anyone watching a single minute of any Cowboys game would clearly see that Wadeface is either suffering from constipation or incredibly fustrated by his teams putrid play. As poorly coached as this team is, that does not explain the gutless effort put forth by the Cowboys as a whole. This is without a doubt, the most heartless collection of professional athletes I have seen in my lifetime. When the highlight of their season was the $57,000 dinner bill racked up during a training camp dinner on rookie Dez Bryant, that served as a foreshadowing of how bad the situation would unravel in big D.
At Giants +159 the natural inclination is to jump all over them. With a comfortable three games to one lead, all the pressure has shifted to the Texas Rangers who are playing just to get the series back to San Francisco for game six. Furthermore, the Giants have the defending two time Cy Young award winner on the mound. Why wouldn't I bet the Giants?
This line stinks. I lean Giants because I expect both starting pitchers to be highly effective and go at least seven innings tonight. While the Giants possess a decided edge in the matchup of bullpens, Cliff Lee is more than capable of pitching a complete game. As a result, I will release the Under 6.5 in anticipation of a 3-2 type of game. When the series opened this same line was set at 5.5. Take advantage of the extra run that has been provided.
Much to the chagrin of Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones and fans everywhere, Wade Phillips has once again announced that he is "dumbfounded". Even more shocking is the need that he would continually have to make such an announcement. Anyone watching a single minute of any Cowboys game would clearly see that Wadeface is either suffering from constipation or incredibly fustrated by his teams putrid play. As poorly coached as this team is, that does not explain the gutless effort put forth by the Cowboys as a whole. This is without a doubt, the most heartless collection of professional athletes I have seen in my lifetime. When the highlight of their season was the $57,000 dinner bill racked up during a training camp dinner on rookie Dez Bryant, that served as a foreshadowing of how bad the situation would unravel in big D.
Saturday, October 30, 2010
Situational Play of the Weekend.......
Tonight's contest in Norman, Oklahoma features an angry Sooners team versus a depleted Colorado squad. While I usually eschew conference games that feature huge point spreads, tonight is an exception.
A caller on a well known sports radio station highlighted how competitive Colorado has been the past few weeks, despite losing. Furthermore, the caller mentioned that if Colorado quarterback Tyler Hansen was not injured last week during the Texas Tech game, then the Buffaloes would have won. Very common man of the caller to point this out. What the caller and many others fail to realize is that Colorado is 0-2 on the road this season, while Oklahoma is 4-0 at home and has won impressively. In addition, the favored team in this series is 8-0 against the spread(ATS)over the last eight years. Factor in an angry Oklahoma team coming off a loss at Missouri last weekend and you have all the trappings for a blowout.
Sooners -24 over Colorado.
A caller on a well known sports radio station highlighted how competitive Colorado has been the past few weeks, despite losing. Furthermore, the caller mentioned that if Colorado quarterback Tyler Hansen was not injured last week during the Texas Tech game, then the Buffaloes would have won. Very common man of the caller to point this out. What the caller and many others fail to realize is that Colorado is 0-2 on the road this season, while Oklahoma is 4-0 at home and has won impressively. In addition, the favored team in this series is 8-0 against the spread(ATS)over the last eight years. Factor in an angry Oklahoma team coming off a loss at Missouri last weekend and you have all the trappings for a blowout.
Sooners -24 over Colorado.
Friday, October 29, 2010
Weekend Winner$......
After showering my fans with another winner last night, I look forward to keeping this graavy train rolling. Since this is Halloween weekend, I will be releasing both college and NFL picks today, ahead of what is shaping up to be a very active social calendar. Without further adieu, lets get down to brass taxes.
UCLA +9 over Arizona. UCLA coming off an embarrassing loss at Oregon. While the Ducks could have probably dropped a hundo on this putrid squad, expect the Bruins to circle the wagons this weekend. Common man is currently doing the math and coming up with something along the lines of a 30 point Arizona win. I prefer to fade the common man.
USC +7 over Oregon. Part two of the common man's guide to picking losers. Can anyone recall when SC was last playing as an underdog at the coliseum? This is their bowl game and after last years drubbing at the hands of these same Ducks, I expect SC to keep this game close, with a chance to win. Barkley is a pro quarterback and the men of troy will be more than ready for this game.
Florida +2.5 over Georgia. My initial reaction was to take the Bulldogs in this game. After winning in successive weeks with Georgia, I found myself overcome with sentimentality. Upon further review, Florida is coming off a much needed bye week and has as much talent as anyone in the country. With this serving as a must win for the Gators, I expect them to make major statement come Satrday afternoon. This is a "situational release" in which all trends are pointing to Florida in this contest.
NFL
Vikings +6 over the Patriots. Vikings could have Tommy Kramer playing quarterback and I would still like them. This Patriots team is a mirage and six points is too much to lay against a desperate team.
Chargers -3(3.5) over the Titans. Vince Young back under center for this game should allow the Chargers to stack the box against the run. This is the most talented 2-5 team in the history of the NFL. The Chargers are losing because they are a poorly coached, undisciplined football team. While I hate betting against a physical, well coached Jeff Fisher team, this is Halloween and Norv Turner can masquerade as a real head coach for at least one more week.
UCLA +9 over Arizona. UCLA coming off an embarrassing loss at Oregon. While the Ducks could have probably dropped a hundo on this putrid squad, expect the Bruins to circle the wagons this weekend. Common man is currently doing the math and coming up with something along the lines of a 30 point Arizona win. I prefer to fade the common man.
USC +7 over Oregon. Part two of the common man's guide to picking losers. Can anyone recall when SC was last playing as an underdog at the coliseum? This is their bowl game and after last years drubbing at the hands of these same Ducks, I expect SC to keep this game close, with a chance to win. Barkley is a pro quarterback and the men of troy will be more than ready for this game.
Florida +2.5 over Georgia. My initial reaction was to take the Bulldogs in this game. After winning in successive weeks with Georgia, I found myself overcome with sentimentality. Upon further review, Florida is coming off a much needed bye week and has as much talent as anyone in the country. With this serving as a must win for the Gators, I expect them to make major statement come Satrday afternoon. This is a "situational release" in which all trends are pointing to Florida in this contest.
NFL
Vikings +6 over the Patriots. Vikings could have Tommy Kramer playing quarterback and I would still like them. This Patriots team is a mirage and six points is too much to lay against a desperate team.
Chargers -3(3.5) over the Titans. Vince Young back under center for this game should allow the Chargers to stack the box against the run. This is the most talented 2-5 team in the history of the NFL. The Chargers are losing because they are a poorly coached, undisciplined football team. While I hate betting against a physical, well coached Jeff Fisher team, this is Halloween and Norv Turner can masquerade as a real head coach for at least one more week.
Thursday, October 28, 2010
The End of an Error.........
The official moving date for the financial version of the post office, better known as American International Group (ticker: AIG),is set for tomorrow morning. AIG is best known for almost blowing up the global financial system through a series of enormous bets made via complex derivative instruments (those same instruments that Goldman Sachs would later be made whole on by our government- more specifically US taxpayers). Unlike the good folks at Goldman, I cannot recall anyone at 70 Pine Street ever claiming to "be doing God's work". However, what they have been doing on the 12th floor trading room, is far more interesting.
Each morning various traders on the 12th floor have congregated around a window where they would watch a woman across the street(10th floor to be exact) take a shower. In addition to serving as a "team building exercise", this has also taught these men to pay attention to detail. One trader was overheard saying "yeah look at the green bottle, I think she uses Pert shampoo". While some may view this behavior as a little unseemly or even perverted, compared to our friends at the Securities Exchange Commission who were watching porn all day, this is a drop in the bucket. Hopefully senior management has been considerate enough to make sure the 12th floor of the new building has similar views so that these guys are not forced to surf the web in search of what they left behind.
Tonight's release...NC State +3.5 over Florida State. You want trends? How about NC State 8-0-1 Against the spread(ATS) in their last 9 games vs. FSU. More impressively the underdog is 8-0-1 in the last 9 matchups between these schools. This line stinks. If FSU is clearly the dominant force some think they are, then riddle me this: why isn't the line at -5.5 or 6? This is a conference rivalry game involving a home dog on a Thursday night. Somewhere at a local bar near you, patrons are decked out in their Charlie Ward jerseys chomping at the bit to lay the wood and fight the trend. Good night and good luck Common man...you are going to need it.
Each morning various traders on the 12th floor have congregated around a window where they would watch a woman across the street(10th floor to be exact) take a shower. In addition to serving as a "team building exercise", this has also taught these men to pay attention to detail. One trader was overheard saying "yeah look at the green bottle, I think she uses Pert shampoo". While some may view this behavior as a little unseemly or even perverted, compared to our friends at the Securities Exchange Commission who were watching porn all day, this is a drop in the bucket. Hopefully senior management has been considerate enough to make sure the 12th floor of the new building has similar views so that these guys are not forced to surf the web in search of what they left behind.
Tonight's release...NC State +3.5 over Florida State. You want trends? How about NC State 8-0-1 Against the spread(ATS) in their last 9 games vs. FSU. More impressively the underdog is 8-0-1 in the last 9 matchups between these schools. This line stinks. If FSU is clearly the dominant force some think they are, then riddle me this: why isn't the line at -5.5 or 6? This is a conference rivalry game involving a home dog on a Thursday night. Somewhere at a local bar near you, patrons are decked out in their Charlie Ward jerseys chomping at the bit to lay the wood and fight the trend. Good night and good luck Common man...you are going to need it.
Tuesday, October 26, 2010
No More Camp Cupcake?
The NBA season starts tonight and already the common man is out in full force. Scheduling the Heat to open in Boston against the Celtics may have been a marketing dream but more importantly this is a windfall for bookmakers everywhere. The Heat are prohibitive favorites to win it all this year at 17/10 odds. So basically "common man" is laying out his hard earned dinero for the next 8 plus months so he can not even double his money if the Heat survive the grueling playoff run and win the chmpionship. Sounds like a fantastic idea!
Tonight's release is Boston +1.5 over the Heat. The Heat are younger and more talented but something tells me that the overwhelming amount of dopes throwing their money on the Heat tonight is the greatest contrarian indicator around.
After hearing ESPN analyst Ron Jaworski compare Dallas Cowboys outside linebacker Demarcus Ware to Lawrence Taylor, I should have known it was going to be a long evening. Then when coaching icon Wadeface phillips lost multiple coaches challenges throughout the game, I was even more shocked. However, the most disappointing news came from a blogger who suggested that the Cowboys will undergo serious changes, thus eliminating "Camp Cupcake". While making changes are necessary to improve a last place 1-5 team that many believed would be Super Bowl contenders, does that mean ownership also needs to eliminate the culture created under Wadeface?
As an owner who appears to have a fifth grader's football acumen, Jerry Jones has managed to destroy this once proud franchise that was built in large part by Jimmy Johnson's drafting and the addition of key free agents. In the years since Johnson, the Cowboys have had one legitimate coach, Bill Parcells, who resigned largely as a result of Jones' meddling. After all this, why would anyone be surprised that the Cowboys are in the position they are? Jerry Jones is an owner who is more concerned with the image and not the substance of his team. One can only imagine the mindset of Mr. Jones if come February, the New York Giants are playing for the Superbowl in his stadium.
Tonight's release is Boston +1.5 over the Heat. The Heat are younger and more talented but something tells me that the overwhelming amount of dopes throwing their money on the Heat tonight is the greatest contrarian indicator around.
After hearing ESPN analyst Ron Jaworski compare Dallas Cowboys outside linebacker Demarcus Ware to Lawrence Taylor, I should have known it was going to be a long evening. Then when coaching icon Wadeface phillips lost multiple coaches challenges throughout the game, I was even more shocked. However, the most disappointing news came from a blogger who suggested that the Cowboys will undergo serious changes, thus eliminating "Camp Cupcake". While making changes are necessary to improve a last place 1-5 team that many believed would be Super Bowl contenders, does that mean ownership also needs to eliminate the culture created under Wadeface?
As an owner who appears to have a fifth grader's football acumen, Jerry Jones has managed to destroy this once proud franchise that was built in large part by Jimmy Johnson's drafting and the addition of key free agents. In the years since Johnson, the Cowboys have had one legitimate coach, Bill Parcells, who resigned largely as a result of Jones' meddling. After all this, why would anyone be surprised that the Cowboys are in the position they are? Jerry Jones is an owner who is more concerned with the image and not the substance of his team. One can only imagine the mindset of Mr. Jones if come February, the New York Giants are playing for the Superbowl in his stadium.
Monday, October 25, 2010
When Genius Failed........
Tonight's NFL contest features two bitter divisional foes on opposite sides of the spectrum. When the 4-2 Giants visit the 1-4 Cowboys, Dallas will try to circle the wagons in an effort to save their season, similar to what the Giants did three weeks ago at home against the Bears. However, Dallas faces a far more formidable task than what the Giants had to deal with.
The Giants strength(defensive pass rush) will present a major issue for Dallas and their weak offensive line. Couple that with Eli Manning leading an offense that has never had trouble putting up points in Dallas, whether it was at the old stadium or the current monstrosity known as Jerry's World(should be Wade's world but thats another story). Furthermore, looking at Dallas' struggles aganst the spread: 1-4 this season and 1-4 in their past 5 Monday Night games, there is little reason for Cowboy fans to be optimistic.
While the Giants have proven to be a "live dog" going 11-4 in their last 15 as a road underdog, this is still a flawed team. Despite three straight wins, the Giants have looked suspect at times, especially at the linebacker and special teams positions. That said, all the pressure is on the Cowboys who are at home and playing in a must win game. Although my initial thought was:Dallas is too talented to lose another home game and fall completely out of the playoff picture, the 3.5 spread is cause for concern. The prevailing sentiment outside of New York is that the Cowboys will win this game because they have to. This is failed logic.
After running through all the numbers and breaking down historical data, this game is a toss up. I lean Cowboys based on situational trends but believe the Giants have a favorable matchup. As a result, for tonight's release I am taking the over 44.5 points. Every possible scenario leads me to the same conclusion: points will be scored.
While this weekends games were perplexing to say the least,there was one constant trend that remained firmly intact. After dominating the Patriots in terms of: yeards gained, time of possession,etc. the Chargers still found a way to lose another game they should have won. Four turnovers (all in the first half), penalties, and bad coaching all led to another Chargers loss. The false start penalty which proceeded the missed field goal attempt at the end of regulation was vintage Norv Turner. Wadeface gets most of the attention for his team's lack of discipline but Norv has officially thrown down the gauntlet league wide to let everyone know that this NFL coaching version of the "dumboff" is far from over.
The Giants strength(defensive pass rush) will present a major issue for Dallas and their weak offensive line. Couple that with Eli Manning leading an offense that has never had trouble putting up points in Dallas, whether it was at the old stadium or the current monstrosity known as Jerry's World(should be Wade's world but thats another story). Furthermore, looking at Dallas' struggles aganst the spread: 1-4 this season and 1-4 in their past 5 Monday Night games, there is little reason for Cowboy fans to be optimistic.
While the Giants have proven to be a "live dog" going 11-4 in their last 15 as a road underdog, this is still a flawed team. Despite three straight wins, the Giants have looked suspect at times, especially at the linebacker and special teams positions. That said, all the pressure is on the Cowboys who are at home and playing in a must win game. Although my initial thought was:Dallas is too talented to lose another home game and fall completely out of the playoff picture, the 3.5 spread is cause for concern. The prevailing sentiment outside of New York is that the Cowboys will win this game because they have to. This is failed logic.
After running through all the numbers and breaking down historical data, this game is a toss up. I lean Cowboys based on situational trends but believe the Giants have a favorable matchup. As a result, for tonight's release I am taking the over 44.5 points. Every possible scenario leads me to the same conclusion: points will be scored.
While this weekends games were perplexing to say the least,there was one constant trend that remained firmly intact. After dominating the Patriots in terms of: yeards gained, time of possession,etc. the Chargers still found a way to lose another game they should have won. Four turnovers (all in the first half), penalties, and bad coaching all led to another Chargers loss. The false start penalty which proceeded the missed field goal attempt at the end of regulation was vintage Norv Turner. Wadeface gets most of the attention for his team's lack of discipline but Norv has officially thrown down the gauntlet league wide to let everyone know that this NFL coaching version of the "dumboff" is far from over.
Friday, October 22, 2010
Bonsoir......
With the weekend around the corner, I am releasing my College Football Game of the Year. After spending hours pouring over statistical data with my team of quants, I have found a game that lines up both on a situational and statistical level. As someone who subscribes to the notion that- statistics are only as good as the jackasses interpreting them, I never rely soley on this information.
Iowa -6 over Wisconsin. Once this line came out at Iowa -4.5 I was as elated as a gassed up Pat McAfee in a canal. However, within minutes this line ran higher and rightly so. Following a tremendous performance against Ohio State lst week, Badger mania was in high gear. However, remember the situational angle at play: home night game against the #1 team in the country and more importantly, a conference rival. One can look back to the South Carolina vs. Alabama game to see a similiar scenario. If you factor in the performances of both teams year to date, you will see a different picture.
Iowa's lone loss came to a talented Arizona team playing a night game in front of their home crowd. Arizona's Opportunistic defense caused turnovers, their special teams scored, and they mounted a late scoring drive, managing to hold off Iowa. Since that time Iowa has been cooking on fire. Although the Hawkeyes were outgained by Michigan last week, those numbers were a farce since the game was out of reach and Michigan compiled garbage yards. Look for the "common man" sporting a vintage Ron Dayne jersey at your local sports bar tomorrow. When he turns to you and says "How did we lose to Iowa? We just beat Ohio State....I don't understand". Just buy him a drink, offer your condolensces and move on. IOWA -6 over Wisconsin in the mother of all let down games.
"Those who forget their history are condemned to repeat it"
Despite living in a sports handicapping centric world, we at Propick cannot help but to be intrigued by the behavior of French protesters overseas. Until recently the French were nothing more than a punchline: skinny dudes wearing berets and scarfing down croissants. As a group, the French are widely seen as loafs who eschew the notion of busting their ass to make a good living. Ironically, recent footage reveals that contrary to public opinion, the French truly are a motivated bunch. While their work ethic may be lacking, these maniacs sure can protest. Who would have thought that a group of millions indignant over a 35 hour work week could be so vehement and steadfast in voicing their anger? In any event, as catastrophic as these protests are to the french economy and society as a whole, these outbursts will subside once people realize their economy and all of Europe is in ruins. Let this be a cautionary tale to the Federal Reserve who is reflating our economy into oblivion.
Iowa -6 over Wisconsin. Once this line came out at Iowa -4.5 I was as elated as a gassed up Pat McAfee in a canal. However, within minutes this line ran higher and rightly so. Following a tremendous performance against Ohio State lst week, Badger mania was in high gear. However, remember the situational angle at play: home night game against the #1 team in the country and more importantly, a conference rival. One can look back to the South Carolina vs. Alabama game to see a similiar scenario. If you factor in the performances of both teams year to date, you will see a different picture.
Iowa's lone loss came to a talented Arizona team playing a night game in front of their home crowd. Arizona's Opportunistic defense caused turnovers, their special teams scored, and they mounted a late scoring drive, managing to hold off Iowa. Since that time Iowa has been cooking on fire. Although the Hawkeyes were outgained by Michigan last week, those numbers were a farce since the game was out of reach and Michigan compiled garbage yards. Look for the "common man" sporting a vintage Ron Dayne jersey at your local sports bar tomorrow. When he turns to you and says "How did we lose to Iowa? We just beat Ohio State....I don't understand". Just buy him a drink, offer your condolensces and move on. IOWA -6 over Wisconsin in the mother of all let down games.
"Those who forget their history are condemned to repeat it"
Despite living in a sports handicapping centric world, we at Propick cannot help but to be intrigued by the behavior of French protesters overseas. Until recently the French were nothing more than a punchline: skinny dudes wearing berets and scarfing down croissants. As a group, the French are widely seen as loafs who eschew the notion of busting their ass to make a good living. Ironically, recent footage reveals that contrary to public opinion, the French truly are a motivated bunch. While their work ethic may be lacking, these maniacs sure can protest. Who would have thought that a group of millions indignant over a 35 hour work week could be so vehement and steadfast in voicing their anger? In any event, as catastrophic as these protests are to the french economy and society as a whole, these outbursts will subside once people realize their economy and all of Europe is in ruins. Let this be a cautionary tale to the Federal Reserve who is reflating our economy into oblivion.
Thursday, October 21, 2010
2010 Sportsman Of The Year
After last year's unanimous decision to award Vernon Gholston with the prestigious 2009 Propick Sportsman of the Year award, we at Propick Sports realized how imperative it is to keep raising the bar. While there were a plethora of qualified candidates, most of these athletes lacked that certain something to separate themselves from the pack. Whereas the Propick Coach of the Year award has consistently boiled down to Wadeface and Norv Turner, the Sportsman of the year is a far more difficult race to handicap.
Enter Pat McAfee. When reports surfaced Tuesday that Colts punter Pat Mcafee (a complete unknown), was found shirtless and drunk in a canal in Indiana, Propick immediately took notice. What better way for an athlete to catipulate himself from obscurity to the top of the Sportsman of the year award list then to swim drunk in a canal in thirty degree weather? After blowing a .15, its amazing that McAfee didn't pass out or even worse die of hypothermia. While we at Propick advocate "drinking responsibly", we cannot help but appreciate the lengths some people will go to just to get their name in the running for our year end award. I wonder if McAfee would be given a lifetime ban by the NFL if he does this again? Strike one resulted in a one game suspension and more importantly consideration for the Sportsman of the year award. In any event, it looks like local celebrity Marxy has some work to do if he wants to elevate himself into the company of Mssr. McAfee. While Marxy is no stranger to "stepping up his game during crunchtime", even he might have trouble topping this effort.
Phillies-Giants game 5. This has been a brutal series for me to figure. With a potential 5 dime payout with the Giants to win the World Series (futures), I decided to "polish hedge" and lay a dime on Philly to win 425 when this series began. Everything points to the Giants winning this series, not the least of which involves every dope on television and radio assuring us that the Phillies are going to win it all. Whenever there is such consensus on the part of the media, former players,etc. make sure you run the other way. That being said, I still see this series going seven games so I will take Halladay in tonight's rematch of game one. Phillies -120 over the Giants.
Enter Pat McAfee. When reports surfaced Tuesday that Colts punter Pat Mcafee (a complete unknown), was found shirtless and drunk in a canal in Indiana, Propick immediately took notice. What better way for an athlete to catipulate himself from obscurity to the top of the Sportsman of the year award list then to swim drunk in a canal in thirty degree weather? After blowing a .15, its amazing that McAfee didn't pass out or even worse die of hypothermia. While we at Propick advocate "drinking responsibly", we cannot help but appreciate the lengths some people will go to just to get their name in the running for our year end award. I wonder if McAfee would be given a lifetime ban by the NFL if he does this again? Strike one resulted in a one game suspension and more importantly consideration for the Sportsman of the year award. In any event, it looks like local celebrity Marxy has some work to do if he wants to elevate himself into the company of Mssr. McAfee. While Marxy is no stranger to "stepping up his game during crunchtime", even he might have trouble topping this effort.
Phillies-Giants game 5. This has been a brutal series for me to figure. With a potential 5 dime payout with the Giants to win the World Series (futures), I decided to "polish hedge" and lay a dime on Philly to win 425 when this series began. Everything points to the Giants winning this series, not the least of which involves every dope on television and radio assuring us that the Phillies are going to win it all. Whenever there is such consensus on the part of the media, former players,etc. make sure you run the other way. That being said, I still see this series going seven games so I will take Halladay in tonight's rematch of game one. Phillies -120 over the Giants.
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
More Winners.......
After watching Cliff Lee absolutely handcuff the most potent/expensive lineup in all of baseball, there is no doubt that Lee has catapulted himself into rarified air with his 7-0 lifetime postseason record. Perhaps even more impressive is his 1.26 career era in the postseason, in which he has faced the Yankees in three of those starts. Like myself, Cliff Lee is at the pinnacle of his profession.
Game three between the Giants and Phillies features yet another stellar pitching duel. While I am a seller of Cole Hamels based on last years meltdown, I find myself backing the Phillies in this contest. With Halladay and Oswalt ahead of him, Hamels has looked far more relaxed on the mound. I would argue that being the number three starter has put him at ease and as a result, improved his performance. Couple that with a weak hitting San Francisco lineup and I see the Phillies finding a way to win this pivotal game three matchup. Furthermore, I cannot envision a scenario where the Phillies go down 2-1 in this series and rely on Joe Blanton to get them back to par in the series. Take the Phillies -120 over the Giants.
Tonight's Yankees vs. Rangers matchup is beyond intriguing. With the Rangers seizing momentum following their epic game one collapse, all signs point to the Rangers rolling with a Shaky AJ Burnett on the hill. That being said, the line suggests otherwise. At -150 Vegas is begging bettors to take the Rangers. While a contrarian might suggest this matchup may turn into an unexpected pitching duel for the ages, I beg to differ. After mulling over multiple scenarios, the conclusion I have come to is regardless of who wins this game, there will be a ton of runs scored. Despite a dormant offensive performance post the eigth inning of game one, the Yankees will come out aggressive and have the talent to score. Meanwhile the Rangers will be running every chance they get. Take the over 9.5 in tonights game.
Game three between the Giants and Phillies features yet another stellar pitching duel. While I am a seller of Cole Hamels based on last years meltdown, I find myself backing the Phillies in this contest. With Halladay and Oswalt ahead of him, Hamels has looked far more relaxed on the mound. I would argue that being the number three starter has put him at ease and as a result, improved his performance. Couple that with a weak hitting San Francisco lineup and I see the Phillies finding a way to win this pivotal game three matchup. Furthermore, I cannot envision a scenario where the Phillies go down 2-1 in this series and rely on Joe Blanton to get them back to par in the series. Take the Phillies -120 over the Giants.
Tonight's Yankees vs. Rangers matchup is beyond intriguing. With the Rangers seizing momentum following their epic game one collapse, all signs point to the Rangers rolling with a Shaky AJ Burnett on the hill. That being said, the line suggests otherwise. At -150 Vegas is begging bettors to take the Rangers. While a contrarian might suggest this matchup may turn into an unexpected pitching duel for the ages, I beg to differ. After mulling over multiple scenarios, the conclusion I have come to is regardless of who wins this game, there will be a ton of runs scored. Despite a dormant offensive performance post the eigth inning of game one, the Yankees will come out aggressive and have the talent to score. Meanwhile the Rangers will be running every chance they get. Take the over 9.5 in tonights game.
Monday, October 18, 2010
Stand By Your Man..........
In an effort to provide some much needed levity to Dallas Cowboy fans everywhere, I will avoid bringing up their repeat excessive celebration penalty. Oops, my bad. How about the halftime pep talk by head coach and spiritual leader Wadeface? Oh, thats right the Vikings took the second half kickoff 95 yards to tie the game and thwart any momentum Dallas had. At least Tony Romo didn't throw an interception in the fourth quarter which led to a game winning score. Dammit, he did!
Remember this Cowboy fans: you may have Wadeface but the Chargers have Norv. Much to the chagrin of Dallas fans everywhere they are a 1-4 team, despite having as much talent as anyone in the NFC, if not the league. That said, the west coast version of the Cowboys are losing to worse teams week in and week out. Consolation? I didn't think so. When all else fails it becomes imperative for Cowboy fans, players,etc. to remember that at least their quarterback is not being accused of texting pictures of his junk to random women. There you have it, the Dallas Cowboys can now claim the moral high ground. In less than four months owner Jerry Jones will have to parade around teams and fans(other than his own), during Superbowl week like PT Barnums stagehand. Maybe Wadeface can perform tricks at halftime of the big game....like a barking seal at Disney World. How about Tony Romo competing in a punt, pass, and interception competition alongside fourteen year olds?
Tonight's Baseball release: Texas -110 over the Yankees. While I expected the common man to be spotted on every corner bar donning a Cliff Lee jersey, much to my surprise this has not been the case. A majority of schmoes I speak to believe the Yankees will not only score some runs off Lee but more impressively, Andy Pettite will circle the wagons like he has done in the past and pitch a gem. Once again, what are the odds of all my dopey friends getting this one right?
* I would be remiss if I did not mention this poignant news story regarding Senator Barney Frank's boyfriend. In a "must see" journalistic moment for the ages, Barney's boyfriend, James Ready, is seen heckling Republican Sean Bielat, through a series of comments. As my audience already knows, Propick Sports does not make political or lifestyle judgements. That being said, in an effort to "stand by his man", Mr. Ready "willing and able" comes up small (no pun intended), as he resorts to goofball heckling. I fervently believe that lovers of politicians are best seen and not heard. Just one sports handicapping genius' opinion.
Remember this Cowboy fans: you may have Wadeface but the Chargers have Norv. Much to the chagrin of Dallas fans everywhere they are a 1-4 team, despite having as much talent as anyone in the NFC, if not the league. That said, the west coast version of the Cowboys are losing to worse teams week in and week out. Consolation? I didn't think so. When all else fails it becomes imperative for Cowboy fans, players,etc. to remember that at least their quarterback is not being accused of texting pictures of his junk to random women. There you have it, the Dallas Cowboys can now claim the moral high ground. In less than four months owner Jerry Jones will have to parade around teams and fans(other than his own), during Superbowl week like PT Barnums stagehand. Maybe Wadeface can perform tricks at halftime of the big game....like a barking seal at Disney World. How about Tony Romo competing in a punt, pass, and interception competition alongside fourteen year olds?
Tonight's Baseball release: Texas -110 over the Yankees. While I expected the common man to be spotted on every corner bar donning a Cliff Lee jersey, much to my surprise this has not been the case. A majority of schmoes I speak to believe the Yankees will not only score some runs off Lee but more impressively, Andy Pettite will circle the wagons like he has done in the past and pitch a gem. Once again, what are the odds of all my dopey friends getting this one right?
* I would be remiss if I did not mention this poignant news story regarding Senator Barney Frank's boyfriend. In a "must see" journalistic moment for the ages, Barney's boyfriend, James Ready, is seen heckling Republican Sean Bielat, through a series of comments. As my audience already knows, Propick Sports does not make political or lifestyle judgements. That being said, in an effort to "stand by his man", Mr. Ready "willing and able" comes up small (no pun intended), as he resorts to goofball heckling. I fervently believe that lovers of politicians are best seen and not heard. Just one sports handicapping genius' opinion.
Saturday, October 16, 2010
Redemption.....
After a week of hearing how peeved Nebraska was over last years Big 12 Championship game "shaft", conventional wisdom suggests that Texas is in for a long afternoon. Whether its the Red-emption shirts being hawked around Lincoln or the red rubber bracelets that players are wearing that read .01, the infamous one second that allowed Texas the opportunity to kick the game winning field goal, the public is all over the Huskers.
Barring a slew of turnovers and mental mistakes the Huskers should roll today. However, when was the last time something was this easy? While Nebraska has been dominant this year, are playing at home, and facing the worst Texas team in recent memory, this is still a proud Texas program. Although all statistical analysis overwhelmingly favors Nebraska but Texas is great against the spread following a week off and even better following a week off after a loss.
The Release......Texas +10 over Nebraska. Do I think the Horns win? No....but they will cover.
Barring a slew of turnovers and mental mistakes the Huskers should roll today. However, when was the last time something was this easy? While Nebraska has been dominant this year, are playing at home, and facing the worst Texas team in recent memory, this is still a proud Texas program. Although all statistical analysis overwhelmingly favors Nebraska but Texas is great against the spread following a week off and even better following a week off after a loss.
The Release......Texas +10 over Nebraska. Do I think the Horns win? No....but they will cover.
Friday, October 15, 2010
FREE CA$H WEEKEND........
This is one of the few times when there is money for the taking, in the form of sporting handicapping this weekend. Starting with the American League Championship Series tonight, there is no shortage of money making opportunities. During times like these, it is important to devise a gameplan and adhere to the tenets of sports handicapping. Most importantly, stick to the core group of games that you (or I) have selected and avoid the "Crackhead" bets that come in the form of: second half bets, drunk dialing bets, ten team parlays,etc.
Yankees-145 over the Rangers. The value lean suggests taking a shot with Texas lefty CJ Wilson. However, with the line begging you to take the Rangers, I will eschew the shortcomings of the common man and back the Yankees and CC Sabathia. Statistical analysis is overwhelming and the Yankees lineup appears to have hit their collective stride. While Wilson could give Yankee hitters early trouble, I expect Sabathia to shut down the Rangers long enough for the Yankees offense to find its groove.
Without devulging my mathmatical analysis, I will release my situational angle which served me well in the first round matchup between the Yankees and Twins. With the Series line Yankees -180, I would prefer to risk 145 on their ace in tonight's game one. If the Yankees lose with Sabathia on the hill, they will have the unenviable task of having to win game two in Texas, with Cliff Lee awaiting them in game three. The easiest way to play this series is through tonights game. Yankees -145 over the Rangers.
College Football Releases
Michigan State -7 over Illinois. Trap game avoided with big win by the Illini last week.
Texas A&M -3 over Missouri. My Model has Texas A&M favored by 8.5 points.
Yankees-145 over the Rangers. The value lean suggests taking a shot with Texas lefty CJ Wilson. However, with the line begging you to take the Rangers, I will eschew the shortcomings of the common man and back the Yankees and CC Sabathia. Statistical analysis is overwhelming and the Yankees lineup appears to have hit their collective stride. While Wilson could give Yankee hitters early trouble, I expect Sabathia to shut down the Rangers long enough for the Yankees offense to find its groove.
Without devulging my mathmatical analysis, I will release my situational angle which served me well in the first round matchup between the Yankees and Twins. With the Series line Yankees -180, I would prefer to risk 145 on their ace in tonight's game one. If the Yankees lose with Sabathia on the hill, they will have the unenviable task of having to win game two in Texas, with Cliff Lee awaiting them in game three. The easiest way to play this series is through tonights game. Yankees -145 over the Rangers.
College Football Releases
Michigan State -7 over Illinois. Trap game avoided with big win by the Illini last week.
Texas A&M -3 over Missouri. My Model has Texas A&M favored by 8.5 points.
Thursday, October 14, 2010
Baseball Fever.......
Without getting ahead of myself, I am going to predict a very strong upcoming College and NFL weekend. However, before showering my loyal fanbase with wheel barrels full of dinero, I must first address the baseball league championship series that begin tomorrow night.
Phillies -240 over the Giants to win the series. While this is a "meaty" number you have to lay, the Giants lack the offense to keep up with the Phils. Despite a dominant pitching staff, the Giants find themselves opposing a Phillies team with arguably the best starting three rotation in all of baseball. Furthermore, the Phillies are stacked with clutch hitters up and down their lineup. Although I expect the Giants to stay close in these games, this series has the feel of the Phillies closing things out in five games.
Halladay-173 over Lincecum. Game one features the marquee pitching matchup of the postseason. Although the line is begging you to take Lincecum (takeback should be around 155), I love Halladay in this spot. This first game is critical and if you like the Phillies to win the series, they should take game one in the process. Although I expect this to be a tight game, the runline is also an interesting option. At Phillies -1.5 +150, a 3-1 win could present a nice payoff. Oddsmakers are telling you people expect a 1-0, 2-1 type of game.
Phillies -240 over the Giants to win the series. While this is a "meaty" number you have to lay, the Giants lack the offense to keep up with the Phils. Despite a dominant pitching staff, the Giants find themselves opposing a Phillies team with arguably the best starting three rotation in all of baseball. Furthermore, the Phillies are stacked with clutch hitters up and down their lineup. Although I expect the Giants to stay close in these games, this series has the feel of the Phillies closing things out in five games.
Halladay-173 over Lincecum. Game one features the marquee pitching matchup of the postseason. Although the line is begging you to take Lincecum (takeback should be around 155), I love Halladay in this spot. This first game is critical and if you like the Phillies to win the series, they should take game one in the process. Although I expect this to be a tight game, the runline is also an interesting option. At Phillies -1.5 +150, a 3-1 win could present a nice payoff. Oddsmakers are telling you people expect a 1-0, 2-1 type of game.
Monday, October 11, 2010
Dumb...Dumber...Dumberer...and Dumbest
This weekend's NFL action was significant for a myriad of reasons. In addition to learning that teams such as the: Bengals, Chargers, and Cowboys are not for real, the main entertainment could be witnessed by watching several head coaches in what looked like an official "Dumb off" competition. While Wadeface and Norv Turner are no strangers to this, it appears as if coaches everywere are trying to dethrone these boobs.
After Wadeface solidified his ranking as dumbest, despite his undisciplined Cowboys putting on a display that would make football purists everywhere cringe, he was in for a dogfight. After amassing an unfathomable 133 yards of penalities, including a stupid touchdown celebration which cost the Cowboys the game, Wadeface failed to get separation from the other coaches who are vying for his title.
Norv Turner. After an impressive offensive display in which the Chargers almost doubled the amount of total yards that their opponent gained, they still lost as a result of 2 blocked punts, a fumble returned for a touchdown, and a plethora of stupid penalties. Bravo Norv.....but wait a minute you got stiff competition.
Enter Mike Singletary. This guy personifies old school, yet his team embodies a bunch of circus clowns (winless clowns no less) and appear to be gunning for the "Best 0-16 team in the history of the NFL". Again, like both the Chargers and Cowboys, Singletary's 49ers commit a ton of penalties, turnovers galore, and exhibit a lack of discipline. Despite playing from behind most of the night, this didn't stop the niners from dancing and yucking it up after every catch. Crabtree and Davis looked like they are performing a modern day version of Dance Fever. I wouldn't have been so peeved had I not wagered on these idiots.
Marvin Lewis. If you choose to run a halfway house for wayward athletes, the least you could do is Win! This team is a mess. Their quarterback is god awful and has never been the same following his injury back in the 2006 playoffs. Futhermore, TO and Ocho, despite being incredibly entertaining characters, do nothing to provide leadership to a young and talented team. Why abandon the running game when you have the lead and your quarterback looks like Dave Brown? This my friends is why Marvin Lewis made this list of honorees in the Dumb off.
Now for tonight's Jets-Vikings game. All week I liked the Vikings plus the points. This is a desperate team with talent on both sides of the line, especially on defense. Sanchez is due for an off game and the world has embraced the Jets as the best team in the league. Propick will take the other side. When was the last time all your friends and co workers were right about anything? Think about it then get back to me. Tonight's play ....Vikings +4.5 over the Jets. Barring a Brett Favre meltdown as they play his ridiculous voice mail messages on the TV's throughout the stadium and even show the pictures of his junk that he stupidly texted this chick who worked for the Jets dring his brief tenure, I see this game going down to the wire.
After Wadeface solidified his ranking as dumbest, despite his undisciplined Cowboys putting on a display that would make football purists everywhere cringe, he was in for a dogfight. After amassing an unfathomable 133 yards of penalities, including a stupid touchdown celebration which cost the Cowboys the game, Wadeface failed to get separation from the other coaches who are vying for his title.
Norv Turner. After an impressive offensive display in which the Chargers almost doubled the amount of total yards that their opponent gained, they still lost as a result of 2 blocked punts, a fumble returned for a touchdown, and a plethora of stupid penalties. Bravo Norv.....but wait a minute you got stiff competition.
Enter Mike Singletary. This guy personifies old school, yet his team embodies a bunch of circus clowns (winless clowns no less) and appear to be gunning for the "Best 0-16 team in the history of the NFL". Again, like both the Chargers and Cowboys, Singletary's 49ers commit a ton of penalties, turnovers galore, and exhibit a lack of discipline. Despite playing from behind most of the night, this didn't stop the niners from dancing and yucking it up after every catch. Crabtree and Davis looked like they are performing a modern day version of Dance Fever. I wouldn't have been so peeved had I not wagered on these idiots.
Marvin Lewis. If you choose to run a halfway house for wayward athletes, the least you could do is Win! This team is a mess. Their quarterback is god awful and has never been the same following his injury back in the 2006 playoffs. Futhermore, TO and Ocho, despite being incredibly entertaining characters, do nothing to provide leadership to a young and talented team. Why abandon the running game when you have the lead and your quarterback looks like Dave Brown? This my friends is why Marvin Lewis made this list of honorees in the Dumb off.
Now for tonight's Jets-Vikings game. All week I liked the Vikings plus the points. This is a desperate team with talent on both sides of the line, especially on defense. Sanchez is due for an off game and the world has embraced the Jets as the best team in the league. Propick will take the other side. When was the last time all your friends and co workers were right about anything? Think about it then get back to me. Tonight's play ....Vikings +4.5 over the Jets. Barring a Brett Favre meltdown as they play his ridiculous voice mail messages on the TV's throughout the stadium and even show the pictures of his junk that he stupidly texted this chick who worked for the Jets dring his brief tenure, I see this game going down to the wire.
Thursday, October 7, 2010
Los Bravos.....
The games have begun. After cashing in on a Philies runline play (+105) last night, its time to throw this rig into overdrive. Following my thorough examination of the Rays-Rangers line I have decided to stay away. My head tells me the Rangers are the better team but my gut says the Rays find a way to win. Too close to call.
Atlanta + 149 over San Fran. Absolutely no one likes the Braves. With most people penciling in the Giants to face the Phillies in the next round, I offer up words of caution. With absolutely no offense to speak of, the Giants will be unable to put the Braves away, regardless of how well Lincecum pitches. While Atlanta chugged into the playoffs on fumes, the wagons are being circled as we speak. Bobby Cox's players love him and I expect an elevated effort out of this squad. Release...Braves +149 over the Giants.
Kansas State vs. Nebraska. Release....Under 48.5. Nebraska is the superior team, however this is a big 12 rivalry game and eleven points is too much to lay. With a home game against Texas next week, I would rather play the total. With both teams featuring strong running attacks, expect a lower scoring, ball control theme.
Atlanta + 149 over San Fran. Absolutely no one likes the Braves. With most people penciling in the Giants to face the Phillies in the next round, I offer up words of caution. With absolutely no offense to speak of, the Giants will be unable to put the Braves away, regardless of how well Lincecum pitches. While Atlanta chugged into the playoffs on fumes, the wagons are being circled as we speak. Bobby Cox's players love him and I expect an elevated effort out of this squad. Release...Braves +149 over the Giants.
Kansas State vs. Nebraska. Release....Under 48.5. Nebraska is the superior team, however this is a big 12 rivalry game and eleven points is too much to lay. With a home game against Texas next week, I would rather play the total. With both teams featuring strong running attacks, expect a lower scoring, ball control theme.
Tuesday, October 5, 2010
Playoff Musings......
With the start of the 2010 baseball playoffs upon us, I will break down each American League team and take a look at each from several angles. Unlike 2009, where the Yankees were clearly the most dominant team coming out of the American League, this year is a complete crapshoot. With all four teams limping into the playoffs, there appears to be a legitimate case to be made for anyone of these four teams.
Yankees. For starters, as defending World Series Champions, they immediately get the nod because of pedigree, experience, oh and the largest payroll known to mankind. Although the Yankees have dominated the Twins in past post seasons, they are struggling with their pitching staff. Aside from their ace CC Sabathia, there are many questions that remain: most notably the health of Andy Pettite and concerns over AJ Burnett's precipitous decline.
Rays. Great team speed, solid pitching, stud closer and one of the best managers in the game. Gun to my head, the Rays appear to be the most complete team in the playoffs. However, this team is not a good hitting team. With a team average lingering in the .240's range, this team relies on clutch hitting to get the job done. What happens come playoff time against better pitching? Will the Rays find that same late inning magic? Will they be able to get clutch hits off the likes of Cliff Lee?
Twins. Sentimental favorite. This team always makes the playoffs regardless of whoever they lose in the offseason due to free agency. With perhaps the best manager in the game, along with a wide open playoff field, the Twins are becoming a trendy pick to beat the Yankees in their upcoming matchup. Main concerns include: no legitmate #1 pitcher. Yankees have Sabathia, Rays have Price, and the Rangers got Cliff Lee. As for Liriano, he is a very good pitcher but not an ace. Furthermore, having four good to very good pitchers is not tailor made for a best of five games series.
Rangers. This is the most difficult team to handicap for a myriad of reasons starting with the health of Josh Hamilton. Without knowing what to expect from Hamilton, it becomes harder to assess the Rangers chances. With the American League West wrapped up a long time ago, we have not seen the Rangers play a meaningful game in a long time. Will this impact their performance against the Rays? Also, what should we expect from Cliff Lee? After a dominating performance in last years playoff run for the Phillies, Lee has struggled at times during his tenure with the Rangers. If Hamilton and Lee are able to perform up to their lofty expectations, the Rangers can beat anyone.
*Yankees-Twins. With the Series price Yankees -180 (taking back +160 with the Twins), I'd prefer to take the Yankees in game 1 laying only -140 with Sabathia on the mound. If the Yankees are going to win this series, it is imperative that they win with their ace on the hill. Conversely, At 9-1 to win the World Series, the Twins are an attractive play. Conventional wisdom suggests that if the Twins are able to overcome their struggles against the Yankees, they could be poised for a run to the World Series.
Rays over the Rangers. As I mentioned earlier, the Rangers are an enigma heading into this post season. In a situation like this I am going to take the proven team, which means taking the Rays -145 to win the series.
Yankees. For starters, as defending World Series Champions, they immediately get the nod because of pedigree, experience, oh and the largest payroll known to mankind. Although the Yankees have dominated the Twins in past post seasons, they are struggling with their pitching staff. Aside from their ace CC Sabathia, there are many questions that remain: most notably the health of Andy Pettite and concerns over AJ Burnett's precipitous decline.
Rays. Great team speed, solid pitching, stud closer and one of the best managers in the game. Gun to my head, the Rays appear to be the most complete team in the playoffs. However, this team is not a good hitting team. With a team average lingering in the .240's range, this team relies on clutch hitting to get the job done. What happens come playoff time against better pitching? Will the Rays find that same late inning magic? Will they be able to get clutch hits off the likes of Cliff Lee?
Twins. Sentimental favorite. This team always makes the playoffs regardless of whoever they lose in the offseason due to free agency. With perhaps the best manager in the game, along with a wide open playoff field, the Twins are becoming a trendy pick to beat the Yankees in their upcoming matchup. Main concerns include: no legitmate #1 pitcher. Yankees have Sabathia, Rays have Price, and the Rangers got Cliff Lee. As for Liriano, he is a very good pitcher but not an ace. Furthermore, having four good to very good pitchers is not tailor made for a best of five games series.
Rangers. This is the most difficult team to handicap for a myriad of reasons starting with the health of Josh Hamilton. Without knowing what to expect from Hamilton, it becomes harder to assess the Rangers chances. With the American League West wrapped up a long time ago, we have not seen the Rangers play a meaningful game in a long time. Will this impact their performance against the Rays? Also, what should we expect from Cliff Lee? After a dominating performance in last years playoff run for the Phillies, Lee has struggled at times during his tenure with the Rangers. If Hamilton and Lee are able to perform up to their lofty expectations, the Rangers can beat anyone.
*Yankees-Twins. With the Series price Yankees -180 (taking back +160 with the Twins), I'd prefer to take the Yankees in game 1 laying only -140 with Sabathia on the mound. If the Yankees are going to win this series, it is imperative that they win with their ace on the hill. Conversely, At 9-1 to win the World Series, the Twins are an attractive play. Conventional wisdom suggests that if the Twins are able to overcome their struggles against the Yankees, they could be poised for a run to the World Series.
Rays over the Rangers. As I mentioned earlier, the Rangers are an enigma heading into this post season. In a situation like this I am going to take the proven team, which means taking the Rays -145 to win the series.
Monday, October 4, 2010
Patriot Games.......
After another stellar weekend I am starting to think this might be the single greatest sports handicapping season...Ever. While going 4-0 is a nice performance, the mission is far from accomplished. Tonight's game between the Dolphins and Patriots offers another opportunity for saavy sports gamblers who can see the forest through the trees.
Following their dominant week one performance against the Bengals, the Patriots have appeared sluggish at times and have looked porous on the defensive side of the ball. Despite having a talented core of young players on defense, the Patriots have yet to gel. With an aggressive and physical Miami Dolphin offesive line to contend with, I expect the Patriots to get pushed around tonight.
Win at home. After last week's loss against the Jets at home, the Dolphins cannot afford to drop back to back home games against division foes. Although the oddsmakers have installed the Pats as a one point favorite, much of this revolves around the allure of their star quarterback and head coach. Propick has this line at Dolphins -2.5 and consider the Dolphins the more desperate team. Unlike last week where the Jets were able to jump out to an early 14-0 lead, expect the Dolphins to set the tempo and establish ball control early on. Tonight's release....Dolphins +1 over the Patriots.
Happy 47th birthday to AC Green. This former NBA forward is best known for is tenacity on the boards and his stylish geri curl look that drove the ladies crazy. However, more impressive was AC's ability to "keep the hogan in check" by remaining celibate until marriage. While Propick cannot validate this claim, I still feel bad for all those people who had the misfortune of staying in those same hotel rooms the following day (specifically the shower).
Following their dominant week one performance against the Bengals, the Patriots have appeared sluggish at times and have looked porous on the defensive side of the ball. Despite having a talented core of young players on defense, the Patriots have yet to gel. With an aggressive and physical Miami Dolphin offesive line to contend with, I expect the Patriots to get pushed around tonight.
Win at home. After last week's loss against the Jets at home, the Dolphins cannot afford to drop back to back home games against division foes. Although the oddsmakers have installed the Pats as a one point favorite, much of this revolves around the allure of their star quarterback and head coach. Propick has this line at Dolphins -2.5 and consider the Dolphins the more desperate team. Unlike last week where the Jets were able to jump out to an early 14-0 lead, expect the Dolphins to set the tempo and establish ball control early on. Tonight's release....Dolphins +1 over the Patriots.
Happy 47th birthday to AC Green. This former NBA forward is best known for is tenacity on the boards and his stylish geri curl look that drove the ladies crazy. However, more impressive was AC's ability to "keep the hogan in check" by remaining celibate until marriage. While Propick cannot validate this claim, I still feel bad for all those people who had the misfortune of staying in those same hotel rooms the following day (specifically the shower).
Saturday, October 2, 2010
Sooner Schooner........
After deliberating all morning over today's Oklahoma-Texas matchup, I could not convince myself that last week's effort (or lack thereof) against UCLA, was an anomaly. In fact, despite possessing a ton of athletic ability, this Longhorn team is young and will experience some growing pains. While a blowout at home last week was more than just a hiccup, I expect to see a more spirited effort today.
Oklahoma has struggled in several of their early season contests, however they did blowout Florida State and coach Stoops has had trouble over the past five years against Mack Brown's clubs. My initial response upon seeing the line @ Oklahome 3.5 was: "this should be 5.5". As much as people are predicting a bounceback effort from Texas, I think this seasoned Sooner team is a touchdown better. Barring excessive turnovers, I am expecting a sooners win and cover. The Release....Sooners -3.5 over Texas.
Oklahoma has struggled in several of their early season contests, however they did blowout Florida State and coach Stoops has had trouble over the past five years against Mack Brown's clubs. My initial response upon seeing the line @ Oklahome 3.5 was: "this should be 5.5". As much as people are predicting a bounceback effort from Texas, I think this seasoned Sooner team is a touchdown better. Barring excessive turnovers, I am expecting a sooners win and cover. The Release....Sooners -3.5 over Texas.
Friday, October 1, 2010
Mr. Irrelevant........
In what might be viewed as a last ditch effort to galvanize their fan base and flatline their struggling team, the New York Giants will honor their past legends this Sunday night at halftime of the game. While the greatest of them all, LT will have his number retired, management decided it would be best if Mr. Taylor stayed as far away from the new Meadowland Stadium as possible. Meanwhile, the always chipper Bill Parcells offered a curt "thanks but no thanks" reply and will not be among those basking in the limelight come Sunday night.
Worry not, Tiki Barber will be there and will use this opportunity to remind fans and foes alike, just how great he was. Despite being the proud owner of Giant rushing records and having had a stellar career, Mr. Barber has become best known for his critical comments of his former coach. However, due to Mr. Barber's intelligence level, he has been able to "trash the coach and the team" in such a way that it almost sounds innocuous. Sound familiar? Harken back to 2006 when Mr. Barber declared "I am retiring at the end of the season", prior to week one. Again, sense of timing appears to have eluded Mr.Barber.
Fast forward a few years and now Mr. Barber has traded in his pregnant wife for a younger blond toy and managed to disappear from his television gig quicker than one could fathom. I think an interview this morning on WFAN summed up the teams feelings quite succinctly. When asked about Barer's comments, a current Giant player said "yeah coach has not lost the locker room. Barber's a good guy and all but maybe he's just bitter that he wasn't around to win a Superbowl that next year". Ouch! Enough said.
Now for this week's NFL Winners.....
Giants -4 over Chicago. This is purely a "situational" play. Indicators have the Bears as a small favorite. Matchups, let down situation,etc. all point to the Giants.
Browns +3 over Cincy. This line stinks worse than Albert Haynesworth's jock. Home divisional dog against a Bengal team that is suspect away from home. This game will be a pig. Unless you are a diehard fan of either team there is no excuse to be watching this, except of course if you are a degenerate gambler.
Ravens +1 over Pittsburgh. These games are low scoring bare knuckle brawls. Steelers are the better team but do not have the services of their starting quarterback. While they have been able to win their first three games, beating the Ravens should prove more difficult. Charlie Batch looked good against a soft Tampa Bay Defense. The Ravens didn't play well defensively against a bad Browns team (looking ahead to this game?). Expect Baltimore to shut down the run and force Batch into forcing throws, thus creating turnovers. This game also means more to the Ravens who will run the risk of being two full games behind the Steelers within their division, if they were to lose Sunday.
Worry not, Tiki Barber will be there and will use this opportunity to remind fans and foes alike, just how great he was. Despite being the proud owner of Giant rushing records and having had a stellar career, Mr. Barber has become best known for his critical comments of his former coach. However, due to Mr. Barber's intelligence level, he has been able to "trash the coach and the team" in such a way that it almost sounds innocuous. Sound familiar? Harken back to 2006 when Mr. Barber declared "I am retiring at the end of the season", prior to week one. Again, sense of timing appears to have eluded Mr.Barber.
Fast forward a few years and now Mr. Barber has traded in his pregnant wife for a younger blond toy and managed to disappear from his television gig quicker than one could fathom. I think an interview this morning on WFAN summed up the teams feelings quite succinctly. When asked about Barer's comments, a current Giant player said "yeah coach has not lost the locker room. Barber's a good guy and all but maybe he's just bitter that he wasn't around to win a Superbowl that next year". Ouch! Enough said.
Now for this week's NFL Winners.....
Giants -4 over Chicago. This is purely a "situational" play. Indicators have the Bears as a small favorite. Matchups, let down situation,etc. all point to the Giants.
Browns +3 over Cincy. This line stinks worse than Albert Haynesworth's jock. Home divisional dog against a Bengal team that is suspect away from home. This game will be a pig. Unless you are a diehard fan of either team there is no excuse to be watching this, except of course if you are a degenerate gambler.
Ravens +1 over Pittsburgh. These games are low scoring bare knuckle brawls. Steelers are the better team but do not have the services of their starting quarterback. While they have been able to win their first three games, beating the Ravens should prove more difficult. Charlie Batch looked good against a soft Tampa Bay Defense. The Ravens didn't play well defensively against a bad Browns team (looking ahead to this game?). Expect Baltimore to shut down the run and force Batch into forcing throws, thus creating turnovers. This game also means more to the Ravens who will run the risk of being two full games behind the Steelers within their division, if they were to lose Sunday.
Thursday, September 30, 2010
Back In The Saddle!!!!
After bouncing back with an impressive Twins victory last night, I am ready to delve into this night's college football matchup between the Oklahoma State Cowboys versus the Aggies of Texas A&M. After playing total creampuffs in their respective early season games, this is the first conference game for both teams.
Upon seeing various lines ranging from Oklahoma State -2.5 to -3.5, I cannot get a real feel on the game. Furthermore, I am relying soley on my models since I have yet to see either team play. While the numbers and homefield advantage suggest Okie State makes sense here, I am going to play the total (over/under for any neophytes out there).
With the total nestled at a lofty 66 points, I am taking the under. Despite both teams possessing explosive offenses, this is the first conference game and is being played in prime time on ESPN. Their recent two contests have resulted in the total going way over, however, these matchups were later in the season. Now for the release.....Over 66 for the total.
Upon seeing various lines ranging from Oklahoma State -2.5 to -3.5, I cannot get a real feel on the game. Furthermore, I am relying soley on my models since I have yet to see either team play. While the numbers and homefield advantage suggest Okie State makes sense here, I am going to play the total (over/under for any neophytes out there).
With the total nestled at a lofty 66 points, I am taking the under. Despite both teams possessing explosive offenses, this is the first conference game and is being played in prime time on ESPN. Their recent two contests have resulted in the total going way over, however, these matchups were later in the season. Now for the release.....Over 66 for the total.
Wednesday, September 29, 2010
After a rare loss last night, I find myself in the unenviable position of trying to pick a winner in tonight's action on the basepaths. Despite needing a win to stay within striking distance of the Rays for best record in the American League, the Minnesota Twins laid a major egg last night. General handicapping 101 suggests taking superior teams coming off a loss when they still have something to play for. As a wiseman once told me "only a jackass bets on the favorite the night after they clinched something of importance".
After adhering to this time tested discipline of taking a team coming off a loss, I fond myself on the wrong end of a lobsided contest last night. However, in an effort to maintain my strict discipline I am testing the gods of baseball and coming back once again with the Twins tonight. With Scott Baker taking the mound, the Twins put forth a pitcher with a 8-3 record vs. the Royals in his previous 11 starts. Furthermore, after allowing 10 runs in each of their prior games, the Twins find themselves in need of a strong pitcher performance and in a hurry.
Without providing any of my labor intensive historical data, I will instead release a blank check in the form of the Minnesota Twins -105 over the Royals tonight. Again, this one looks too easy but I just can't help myself.
After adhering to this time tested discipline of taking a team coming off a loss, I fond myself on the wrong end of a lobsided contest last night. However, in an effort to maintain my strict discipline I am testing the gods of baseball and coming back once again with the Twins tonight. With Scott Baker taking the mound, the Twins put forth a pitcher with a 8-3 record vs. the Royals in his previous 11 starts. Furthermore, after allowing 10 runs in each of their prior games, the Twins find themselves in need of a strong pitcher performance and in a hurry.
Without providing any of my labor intensive historical data, I will instead release a blank check in the form of the Minnesota Twins -105 over the Royals tonight. Again, this one looks too easy but I just can't help myself.
Tuesday, September 28, 2010
Fiscal Discipline?
After releasing the Bears last night, Propick Sports is now 5-0 in our last 5 games. With such a stellar recent history, one might expect us to take it easy and wait until the weekend to release some College and NFL winners. In theory that might make sense but at Propick we only know one speed and winning is addictive.
Twins -118 over the Royals. While the Yankees are taking the most heat for their recent malaise, the Twins have been inconsistent as of late. With the potential for home field advantage throughout the American League Playoffs, expect the Twins to right the ship tonight after dropping last night's opener to the lowly Royals. At -118 this line smells really bad. Even though the Twins are on the road this line should be more like Twins -140. In any event, when I throw you a bone don't ask questions, just say thanks and move forward. Twins -118 over the Royals.
After watching the Fed pump money into our failing economic system on a continual basis, members of the Dallas Cowboys decided to get into the act. After a putrid 0-2 start, the Cowboys decided to celebrate after their impressive (and only) win of the season. Furthermore, after rookie wide receiver Dez Bryant refused to carry Roy Williams' shoulder pads as part of a rooking hazing tradition back in the summer, teammates decided it was only fair for Bryant to pay the tab. Despite receiving a hefty guaranteed signing bonus, I do not think Dez Bryant had any idea what to expect when the bill came. What a few thousand dollars maybe? How about $54,896.00. In an effort to one up their Wall Street counterparts, several members of the Cowboys took home bottles of wine (bull market?). Who knew that this group of NFL brutes had such an affinity for fine wine? In any event, when Dez Bryant goes broke in a few years we can all trace it back to a random Monday night in September.
Twins -118 over the Royals. While the Yankees are taking the most heat for their recent malaise, the Twins have been inconsistent as of late. With the potential for home field advantage throughout the American League Playoffs, expect the Twins to right the ship tonight after dropping last night's opener to the lowly Royals. At -118 this line smells really bad. Even though the Twins are on the road this line should be more like Twins -140. In any event, when I throw you a bone don't ask questions, just say thanks and move forward. Twins -118 over the Royals.
After watching the Fed pump money into our failing economic system on a continual basis, members of the Dallas Cowboys decided to get into the act. After a putrid 0-2 start, the Cowboys decided to celebrate after their impressive (and only) win of the season. Furthermore, after rookie wide receiver Dez Bryant refused to carry Roy Williams' shoulder pads as part of a rooking hazing tradition back in the summer, teammates decided it was only fair for Bryant to pay the tab. Despite receiving a hefty guaranteed signing bonus, I do not think Dez Bryant had any idea what to expect when the bill came. What a few thousand dollars maybe? How about $54,896.00. In an effort to one up their Wall Street counterparts, several members of the Cowboys took home bottles of wine (bull market?). Who knew that this group of NFL brutes had such an affinity for fine wine? In any event, when Dez Bryant goes broke in a few years we can all trace it back to a random Monday night in September.
Monday, September 27, 2010
Bears vs. Packers.......
After a red hot undefeated Sunday, I am looking to extend this winning streak for as long as humanly possible. Tonight's contest features one of the surprise teams of this early NFL season, the Chicago Bears, against the NFC team most people believe will represent their conference in the Superbowl, the Green Bay Packers. Even more intriguing is the quarterback matchup between Jay Cutler and Aaron Rodgers.
While both teams are 2-0, the Bears win over Dallas on the road last week, has seemed to attract a new legion of Bear supporters. Meanwhile, despite dismantling the Buffalo Bills last week, many view tonight's road game as the true litmus test for both the Packers ad Aaron Rodgers.
After evaluating my model and forecasting various scenarios- turnovers, etc., the conclusion I reached was: Packers are 5 points better than the Bears, even on the road. However, what my model failed to incorporate was the enormous importance of the divisional home underdog theory. This theory is time tested and impossible to ignore especially this early in the season. With that said, take the Bears and the points tonight. Bears +3 over the Packers.
While both teams are 2-0, the Bears win over Dallas on the road last week, has seemed to attract a new legion of Bear supporters. Meanwhile, despite dismantling the Buffalo Bills last week, many view tonight's road game as the true litmus test for both the Packers ad Aaron Rodgers.
After evaluating my model and forecasting various scenarios- turnovers, etc., the conclusion I reached was: Packers are 5 points better than the Bears, even on the road. However, what my model failed to incorporate was the enormous importance of the divisional home underdog theory. This theory is time tested and impossible to ignore especially this early in the season. With that said, take the Bears and the points tonight. Bears +3 over the Packers.
Saturday, September 25, 2010
More Winners......
Crushing it! As my fans know full well, always ride a hot hand. In an effort to line people's wallets during these tough economic times I am releasing Sunday's NFL winners now.
Bengals -3 over Carolina. The road favorite is always a dangerous play but this scenario is appealing to me on many levels. First off, the Bengals have two top cornerbacks who can go man coverage while they stuff the box and beg Panthers rookie quarterback Jimmy Clausen to beat them through the air. Even with a strong running back tandem, this strategy will make it difficult for Carolina to put points on the board. Conversely, the Bengals can score with anyone and should have no trouble covering this spread.
Cowboys +3 over Texans. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me a dozen times shame on me. Maybe its my overriding obsession with the coaching genius known as "Wadeface". More likely its my not being able to fathom the Cowpokes going 0-3. I expect a less than stellar performance out of the Texans this week. Meanwhile, this should be an impressive outing by Miley Cyrus-scratch that, Tony Romo. I can hear it now: Romo critics are silenced after tony leads his troops to a 1-2 start. How bout them Cowboys??????
Chiefs +3 over Niners. My initial reaction was similar to everyone else's- the Niners are the better team. However, coming off a draining loss in which they outplayed the Superbowl Champion Saints, the Niners have the unenviable task of travelling to Arrowhead stadium. While the Chiefs are a work in progress, they have a huge home field advantage and the public is loaded up on the Niners. Worst case scenario I see this as a field goal loss for the Chiefs, thus assuring a push at the very least.
Bengals -3 over Carolina. The road favorite is always a dangerous play but this scenario is appealing to me on many levels. First off, the Bengals have two top cornerbacks who can go man coverage while they stuff the box and beg Panthers rookie quarterback Jimmy Clausen to beat them through the air. Even with a strong running back tandem, this strategy will make it difficult for Carolina to put points on the board. Conversely, the Bengals can score with anyone and should have no trouble covering this spread.
Cowboys +3 over Texans. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me a dozen times shame on me. Maybe its my overriding obsession with the coaching genius known as "Wadeface". More likely its my not being able to fathom the Cowpokes going 0-3. I expect a less than stellar performance out of the Texans this week. Meanwhile, this should be an impressive outing by Miley Cyrus-scratch that, Tony Romo. I can hear it now: Romo critics are silenced after tony leads his troops to a 1-2 start. How bout them Cowboys??????
Chiefs +3 over Niners. My initial reaction was similar to everyone else's- the Niners are the better team. However, coming off a draining loss in which they outplayed the Superbowl Champion Saints, the Niners have the unenviable task of travelling to Arrowhead stadium. While the Chiefs are a work in progress, they have a huge home field advantage and the public is loaded up on the Niners. Worst case scenario I see this as a field goal loss for the Chiefs, thus assuring a push at the very least.
Thursday, September 23, 2010
It's All About The U..........
Tonight's college football matchup features two high profile teams and a coach with a seventies porn style stache. When the Miami Hurricanes visit the Pittsburgh Panthers and their head coach Dave Wannstedt, they will do so with an awfully large chip on their collective shoulders.
Two weeks ago, in what was supposed to be a game for the ages, Miami got "waxed" by a superior Ohio State Buckeye team. Furthermore, quarterback Jacory Harris had a nightmare of an afternoon with four interceptions (not all his fault) and watched any shot at contention for the Heisman Trophy or his team playing in the National Championship Game, fade before his eyes.
Enter the Pitt Panthers who are 1-1 but yet to face the type of team speed the will encounter tonight. Despite possessing a top flight running game along with a star wide receiver, the Panthers are starting a true freshman at quarterback. In addition, Pitt will also be without the services of one of their star defensive lineman. Although I hate the road favorite in this type of game, "not all road favorites are created equal". The release....Miami -3.5 over Pittsburgh.
Two weeks ago, in what was supposed to be a game for the ages, Miami got "waxed" by a superior Ohio State Buckeye team. Furthermore, quarterback Jacory Harris had a nightmare of an afternoon with four interceptions (not all his fault) and watched any shot at contention for the Heisman Trophy or his team playing in the National Championship Game, fade before his eyes.
Enter the Pitt Panthers who are 1-1 but yet to face the type of team speed the will encounter tonight. Despite possessing a top flight running game along with a star wide receiver, the Panthers are starting a true freshman at quarterback. In addition, Pitt will also be without the services of one of their star defensive lineman. Although I hate the road favorite in this type of game, "not all road favorites are created equal". The release....Miami -3.5 over Pittsburgh.
Monday, September 20, 2010
Monday Night Football......
After last weeks thumping at the hands of the Seattle Seahawks, the San Francisco 49ers have been left for dead. Most people's choice for division winner and dark horse pick to make a run in the playoffs, looked as if they were completely ill prepared for their opener in Seattle. Furthermore, with Seattle cutting several key players prior to their opener, this made the niners lackluster performance even more perplexing.
Enter the Super Bowl Champion New Orleans Saints. After defeating a Vikings team in one of the least entertaining games in ages, the Saints find themselves fully rested for their trip to the bay. When breaking down the two teams respectively, this game appears to be a mismatch on many levels. Furthermore, in the case of 49er quarterback Alex Smith, this is less about performing well than it is about not making mistakes. As for the Saints, despite looking rusty offensively in their home opener, no one questions their firepower and leadership under Drew Brees.
With the line staying firm at New Orleans -6 and almost 75 percent of the gaming public on the Saints,I have absolutely no other choice than to fade public sentiment. This harkens back to my steadfast belief that "if all of my friends are on the same side of a bet, its a sure loser". After all, what are the chances of all the dopes I know striking it rich tonight? The answer: not very good. Tonight I recommend holding your nose(s) and taking the 6 points with the 49ers in their home opener. Tonight's team will in no way resemble the shitshow last seen in Seattle.
Enter the Super Bowl Champion New Orleans Saints. After defeating a Vikings team in one of the least entertaining games in ages, the Saints find themselves fully rested for their trip to the bay. When breaking down the two teams respectively, this game appears to be a mismatch on many levels. Furthermore, in the case of 49er quarterback Alex Smith, this is less about performing well than it is about not making mistakes. As for the Saints, despite looking rusty offensively in their home opener, no one questions their firepower and leadership under Drew Brees.
With the line staying firm at New Orleans -6 and almost 75 percent of the gaming public on the Saints,I have absolutely no other choice than to fade public sentiment. This harkens back to my steadfast belief that "if all of my friends are on the same side of a bet, its a sure loser". After all, what are the chances of all the dopes I know striking it rich tonight? The answer: not very good. Tonight I recommend holding your nose(s) and taking the 6 points with the 49ers in their home opener. Tonight's team will in no way resemble the shitshow last seen in Seattle.
Friday, September 17, 2010
Free NFL Winners.....
Without any must watch games on the college football front this weekend, I have decided to focus on the NFL. Despite only being one week into the season, we already are hearing the phrase "must win", with regards to the: Jets, Colts, Chargers, and Cowboys. While this situation appears to be exaggerated by fans and the media alike, it is imperative for the aforementioned teams to get back into the habit of winning. Now for the releases.....
Cowboys -7.5 over Chicago. Battle of "Wadeface" vs. "Jayface". I will side with the innocuous, often confused head coach over the petulent quarterback everytime. This is the type of meaningless September game where Wadeface and his fearless leader Tony Romo (aka- the Miley Cyrus of the NFL), come up big!
Packers -13 over Buffalo. This is the type of game where Super Bowl caliber teams make a statement. While spotting another NFL team nearly two touchdowns is borderline lunacy, sometimes rules are meant to be broken. The Packers were subpar on the offensive side of the ball last week against a solid Eagle defense. As for the Bills, Trent Edwards and the offense were as efficient as Antonio Cromartie and birth control devices. The Packers will win this game going away.
Falcons -6.5 over Arizona. Remember the wildcard playoff game two years ago where the Cardinals beat the Falcons? Either way none of that matters now because instead of Kurt Warner under center, the Cardinals have journeyman Derek Anderson. Furthermore, the Cardinals have lost a lot on the defensive side of the ball while the Falcons have improved themselves across the board. Factor in a tough loss at Pittsburgh for the Falcons last week, a long cross country flight for the Cardinals and you have all the trappings of a 27-13 type of game. Regardless of the exact score, the Falcons will win the game and cover the six and a hook.
*A Cautionary note to everyone leaning on the Patriots this weekend. 1) Everyone, including many Jet fans are picking the Pats to win the game. 2) The head coach/quarterback matchup is so overwhelmingly in your favor, it almost seems to be a trap. Finally #3, on the cover of Sports Illustrated is none other than Tom Brady and his new locks. Being a superstitious handicapper, this one has me headed for the hills.
Cowboys -7.5 over Chicago. Battle of "Wadeface" vs. "Jayface". I will side with the innocuous, often confused head coach over the petulent quarterback everytime. This is the type of meaningless September game where Wadeface and his fearless leader Tony Romo (aka- the Miley Cyrus of the NFL), come up big!
Packers -13 over Buffalo. This is the type of game where Super Bowl caliber teams make a statement. While spotting another NFL team nearly two touchdowns is borderline lunacy, sometimes rules are meant to be broken. The Packers were subpar on the offensive side of the ball last week against a solid Eagle defense. As for the Bills, Trent Edwards and the offense were as efficient as Antonio Cromartie and birth control devices. The Packers will win this game going away.
Falcons -6.5 over Arizona. Remember the wildcard playoff game two years ago where the Cardinals beat the Falcons? Either way none of that matters now because instead of Kurt Warner under center, the Cardinals have journeyman Derek Anderson. Furthermore, the Cardinals have lost a lot on the defensive side of the ball while the Falcons have improved themselves across the board. Factor in a tough loss at Pittsburgh for the Falcons last week, a long cross country flight for the Cardinals and you have all the trappings of a 27-13 type of game. Regardless of the exact score, the Falcons will win the game and cover the six and a hook.
*A Cautionary note to everyone leaning on the Patriots this weekend. 1) Everyone, including many Jet fans are picking the Pats to win the game. 2) The head coach/quarterback matchup is so overwhelmingly in your favor, it almost seems to be a trap. Finally #3, on the cover of Sports Illustrated is none other than Tom Brady and his new locks. Being a superstitious handicapper, this one has me headed for the hills.
Thursday, September 16, 2010
Dirty Thirty......
Congratulations to coach Urban Meyer for reaching another significant milestone in his distinguished career. Coach Meyer did not win another big game or sign another top recruit (although this will surely follow). This most recent accomplishment involves off the field behavior by one of his talented, yet socially challenged players.
Tailback Chris Rainey's recent text to his girlfriend "Time to Die", was not only inappropriate but the fact that he tried to laugh it off as no big deal is further evidence that this guy needs a psyche ward and the Gators need some character on their squad. With good samaritan Tim Tebow long gone in Gainesville, more attention can be paid to coach Urban Meyer's contribution to the Gator program, which involves thirty of his players being arrested since his arrival a few years ago. As the media focused on the good (Tebow), only once did they really highlight the bad and this was a result of an act so savage, that it had to be highlighted.
Brandon Spikes attempt to gouge a Georgia running back's eye out last year was not dealt with until the media created enough of an issue that, out of embarrassment alone, coach Meyer was forced to address the issue. As usual, Meyer came down hard and swift(not exactly), with a first half suspension of Spikes in a game against Vanderbilt. Well done coach, the world needs more leaders like you. What does this all mean? Absolutely nothing. Until a player actually kills someone, expect nothing to change under Urban Meyer's watch. Hoewever, if this team starts losing, expect to see major scrutiny come his way because after all losing is the only thing that can cost Meyer his job.
Tailback Chris Rainey's recent text to his girlfriend "Time to Die", was not only inappropriate but the fact that he tried to laugh it off as no big deal is further evidence that this guy needs a psyche ward and the Gators need some character on their squad. With good samaritan Tim Tebow long gone in Gainesville, more attention can be paid to coach Urban Meyer's contribution to the Gator program, which involves thirty of his players being arrested since his arrival a few years ago. As the media focused on the good (Tebow), only once did they really highlight the bad and this was a result of an act so savage, that it had to be highlighted.
Brandon Spikes attempt to gouge a Georgia running back's eye out last year was not dealt with until the media created enough of an issue that, out of embarrassment alone, coach Meyer was forced to address the issue. As usual, Meyer came down hard and swift(not exactly), with a first half suspension of Spikes in a game against Vanderbilt. Well done coach, the world needs more leaders like you. What does this all mean? Absolutely nothing. Until a player actually kills someone, expect nothing to change under Urban Meyer's watch. Hoewever, if this team starts losing, expect to see major scrutiny come his way because after all losing is the only thing that can cost Meyer his job.
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Hard Knocks.....
After taking a cursory glance at today's early lines in the bases, I will take the Nationals +165 over the Braves. While the Braves need this game to keep up with the Phillies and maintain their slim lead in the wildcard race, Nats pitcher John Lannan has historically crushed me whenever I bet against him. If you can't beat em, join em.....The release: Nationals +165 over the Braves.
Following a lackluster offensive performance by the Jets in their season opener, media outlets across the country have all but proclaimed this team dead. Comments ranging from "if Jets fans want to be entertained for the next 16 weeks, perhaps they should watch rewinds of hard knocks" to "Rex Ryan is a clown and Mark Sanchez is a poor man's Matt "Matty Ballgame" Leinart. Rest assured Jets fans, this is exactly the type of commentary you want to hear. While the Jets may never have been as good as their preseason (manufactured) hype, they probably aren't nearly as bad as their detractors are making them out to be.
Following a lackluster offensive performance by the Jets in their season opener, media outlets across the country have all but proclaimed this team dead. Comments ranging from "if Jets fans want to be entertained for the next 16 weeks, perhaps they should watch rewinds of hard knocks" to "Rex Ryan is a clown and Mark Sanchez is a poor man's Matt "Matty Ballgame" Leinart. Rest assured Jets fans, this is exactly the type of commentary you want to hear. While the Jets may never have been as good as their preseason (manufactured) hype, they probably aren't nearly as bad as their detractors are making them out to be.
Saturday, September 11, 2010
Free College Football Winning Picks!
After guaranteeing my loyal fans a "blank check" this weekend, I have delivered. Not only were the three college releases all winners but more importantly these games were never in doubt (Michigan trailed by a field goal but was catching 4 points)before a dramatic last minute drive. I informed my subscribers that this was a moneyline play. As I scour the NFL lines now and await to evaluate games that my model highlights, I will check back 9am EST Sunday morning.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing"! Carpe Diem. Propick is off to take care of some other business, white stretch limo style.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing"! Carpe Diem. Propick is off to take care of some other business, white stretch limo style.
Friday, September 10, 2010
OHIO STATE VS. MIAMI
In what might be the best college football weekend of the year, Propick has decided to spend the week (after my Monday night success) in the bunker and get down to business. Usually I avoid handicapping the marquee matchups and focus on the hidden gems that fly under the radar. Without further adieu, here are this weekend's college winners.
Ohio State -8.5 over Miami. Much has been made about the "Return of the U". However, despite their athleticism, this team has a penchant for making mistakes and are playing a team looking to make its case for being #1 in the country. Ohio State has the experience, athletes, coaching, and above all a huge home field edge. Cannot see this game being any closer then a ten point Ohio State victory.
Michigan +4 over Notre Dame. This game means the world to Michigan head coach Rich Rodriguez. Despite winning their home opener, Notre Dame looked very average on offense and I expect Michigan to have no problem putting up points of their own. This game feels like a toss up/slight edge Michigan. Take the four points and move on.
*Bonus release. This is a "strong lean" despite contradicting our proprietary model.
Alabama -11.5 over Penn State. There is no doubt that defending National Champion Alabama is the better team. However, as seen by Penn State's gritty performance in their Gator Bowl victory over LSU last year, there are still plenty of top flight athletes on the Nittany Lions roster. Although the Crimson tide lost eight players on their defense to graduation, make no mistake about it-this defense is loaded! While our model suggests Alabama should be an 8.5 point favorite, there are other factors at play such as: freshman quarterback for Penn State in is first big road game and the fact that Bama has a decided home field advantage.
Ohio State -8.5 over Miami. Much has been made about the "Return of the U". However, despite their athleticism, this team has a penchant for making mistakes and are playing a team looking to make its case for being #1 in the country. Ohio State has the experience, athletes, coaching, and above all a huge home field edge. Cannot see this game being any closer then a ten point Ohio State victory.
Michigan +4 over Notre Dame. This game means the world to Michigan head coach Rich Rodriguez. Despite winning their home opener, Notre Dame looked very average on offense and I expect Michigan to have no problem putting up points of their own. This game feels like a toss up/slight edge Michigan. Take the four points and move on.
*Bonus release. This is a "strong lean" despite contradicting our proprietary model.
Alabama -11.5 over Penn State. There is no doubt that defending National Champion Alabama is the better team. However, as seen by Penn State's gritty performance in their Gator Bowl victory over LSU last year, there are still plenty of top flight athletes on the Nittany Lions roster. Although the Crimson tide lost eight players on their defense to graduation, make no mistake about it-this defense is loaded! While our model suggests Alabama should be an 8.5 point favorite, there are other factors at play such as: freshman quarterback for Penn State in is first big road game and the fact that Bama has a decided home field advantage.
Monday, September 6, 2010
Boise State......
After leaning towards Virginia Tech all week, I have changed my tune. With the line moving from Boise State -3 to +1, all signs point to the wiseguys backing the Hokies. That being said, the Hokies lost alot of personnel in their defensive backfield which should create some serious matchup problems. The release: Boise State +1 over Virginia Tech.
As a little Labor Day Bonus play I am releasing the Padres -130 over the Dodgers (*Note there was a pitching change which has resulted in the line coming down). While the current ten game losing streak the Padres are experiencing concerns me, I adhere to the belief that "these guys have to win sometime". Why not tonight against an anemic Dodgers offense? Take the Padres -130.
As a little Labor Day Bonus play I am releasing the Padres -130 over the Dodgers (*Note there was a pitching change which has resulted in the line coming down). While the current ten game losing streak the Padres are experiencing concerns me, I adhere to the belief that "these guys have to win sometime". Why not tonight against an anemic Dodgers offense? Take the Padres -130.
Thursday, September 2, 2010
Paris Hilton Of The NFL........
In a move that should surprise absolutely no one, the Arizona Cardinals are desperately trying to move quarterback Matt "Matty ballgame" Leinart. After a luckluster four seasons, Leinart has is best known for his offseason antics involving a beer bong, hot tub, and multiple coeds. While that performance was no doubt impressive, his NFL career has been anything but that. Considering Leinart had Kurt Warner as his mentor along with Larry Fitzgerald and a talented core of receivers at his disposal, it is unlikely he will find his mojo on a new team. Rest assured Leinart fans, there will always be a place for him on reality television.
In a show of support for Matty "dancing with the stars" Leinart, tonight's inaugural college football release is: USC -20.5 over Hawaii. Despite laying a big number on the road, this is more about how bad the rainbows are, as opposed to the dominance of USC. Years ago I never would have laid this type of lumber but times have changed. USC does not have the long cross country trip that used to affect many other teams. Furthermore, Hawaii has been brutal the past two years and only return twelve starters for last years subpar squad. USC will suffer some growing pains under Lane Kiffin this year but this will not be the case tonight. The play......USC -20.5 over the Rainbows.
*complimentary MLB release. Over 8 in the Yankees-A's game. The Yanks can hit and while the A's lack offensive firepower, it is about 100 degrees in New York and Yanks pitcher CC Sabathia weighs close to 300 pounds. You figure it out. There should be plenty of scoring today.
In a show of support for Matty "dancing with the stars" Leinart, tonight's inaugural college football release is: USC -20.5 over Hawaii. Despite laying a big number on the road, this is more about how bad the rainbows are, as opposed to the dominance of USC. Years ago I never would have laid this type of lumber but times have changed. USC does not have the long cross country trip that used to affect many other teams. Furthermore, Hawaii has been brutal the past two years and only return twelve starters for last years subpar squad. USC will suffer some growing pains under Lane Kiffin this year but this will not be the case tonight. The play......USC -20.5 over the Rainbows.
*complimentary MLB release. Over 8 in the Yankees-A's game. The Yanks can hit and while the A's lack offensive firepower, it is about 100 degrees in New York and Yanks pitcher CC Sabathia weighs close to 300 pounds. You figure it out. There should be plenty of scoring today.
Friday, August 27, 2010
Friday Releases........
After a brutal week capped off by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his eggregious use of his powers, I will keep this post as succinct as humanly possible. However, I must first express my concerns over the Fed and the reckless road Bernanke has continued us on. When everyday people are betrayed by a rigged financial system run by our government, it is time to take look at a more legitimate money making endeavor: sports handicapping.
Tonight's plays: Yankees -135 over the White Sox.
Brewers -165 over the Pirates
Cardinals -155 over the Nationals
Tonight's plays: Yankees -135 over the White Sox.
Brewers -165 over the Pirates
Cardinals -155 over the Nationals
Sunday, August 22, 2010
Major League Baseball's Lock Of The Year....
After a breif hiatus, Propick Sports is back with tonight's Lock of the Year. The Angels have been a complete disappoint this year, after consistently making playoff runs since 2002. Meanwhile, at 70-52, the Minnesota Twins find themselves atop the American League Central Division with a little breathing room.
While the Twins have played excellent baseball as of late (20-6 in their past 26 games), pitcher Matt Baker is an abysmal 1-7 in his last 8 starts versus the Angels. Furthermore, Angel's pitcher Jared Weaver has been lights out against the Twins over the course of his career. With close to 70 percent of the gaming public expecting the Twins to win this game, I am loading up on the other side of that bet. If pitching wins games, then I will take my chances with Jared Weaver and the Angels tonight over the Twins. Although a late season run at the playoffs is highly unlikely, I still expect the Angels to exhibit some fight down the stretch.
* Bonus preseason Football Release....Vikings +2.5 over the 49ers tonight. While I usually abstain from the degenerate habit of preseason handicapping, this game is incredibly enticing. With the Vikings possessing three quarterbacks, all of whom can play effectively, I expect their backups to outplay the 49ers and win this game going away.
While the Twins have played excellent baseball as of late (20-6 in their past 26 games), pitcher Matt Baker is an abysmal 1-7 in his last 8 starts versus the Angels. Furthermore, Angel's pitcher Jared Weaver has been lights out against the Twins over the course of his career. With close to 70 percent of the gaming public expecting the Twins to win this game, I am loading up on the other side of that bet. If pitching wins games, then I will take my chances with Jared Weaver and the Angels tonight over the Twins. Although a late season run at the playoffs is highly unlikely, I still expect the Angels to exhibit some fight down the stretch.
* Bonus preseason Football Release....Vikings +2.5 over the 49ers tonight. While I usually abstain from the degenerate habit of preseason handicapping, this game is incredibly enticing. With the Vikings possessing three quarterbacks, all of whom can play effectively, I expect their backups to outplay the 49ers and win this game going away.
Tuesday, August 17, 2010
Tuesday Winners......
Succinct post today. Time is money so here we go......Yankees -175 over the Tigers. Yankees runline (-1.5) +120. This is difficult because Verlader is an excellent pitcher but the Yankees have a way of bouncing back and Detroit had been in a recent funk. Expect a strong performance from the Yankees tonight.
San Francisco +140 over the Phillies. The Giants have a subpar offense but I am still not sold on Roy Oswalt's move to Philly. Despite pitching a gem last week aganst the Dodgers, expect Oswalt to give up some rns tonight against a scrappy Giants team that has manufactured runs all season long. Furthermore, Zito should be able to keep a Phillies lineup that is without Utley and Howard in check.
San Francisco +140 over the Phillies. The Giants have a subpar offense but I am still not sold on Roy Oswalt's move to Philly. Despite pitching a gem last week aganst the Dodgers, expect Oswalt to give up some rns tonight against a scrappy Giants team that has manufactured runs all season long. Furthermore, Zito should be able to keep a Phillies lineup that is without Utley and Howard in check.
Friday, August 13, 2010
Meet The Mets......
"I once got busy in a Burger King bathroom" - Digital Underground, 1989.
While the date may read Friday the 13th, avid followers of Propick Sports refer to this day as Christmas in August. Today I release my long awaited NFL season totals for the 2010 football year. As many of you may recall, last year I was 4-1 with my releases (Wins: Jets over 8, New England under 11, Giants under 9.5, Eagles over 9.5, loss: Colts under 11).
Here are this years lotto tickets. Feel free to rack up credit card bills in anticipation of a huge payday. Consider this my "blank check to you". I could not possibly feel anymore confident in this years releases.
Dolphins over 8.5
Falcons over 9
Raiders Over 6
Chargers Under 11
Seahawks Under 7.5
Kudos to the whole New York Mets orgnization. Wednesday night marked yet another low point for the oft struggling franchise. Reliever Francisco Rodriguez decided to further disgrace what is already a complete joke of an organization by beating the crap out of his girlfriend's 53 year old father following a 6-2 loss to the Rockies. Making matters worse was the fact that this was done in the family area of the clubhouse. As a result kids had to witness this behavior. Could you imagine a situation like this happening with the Yankees? Of course not. This organization is a complete embarrassment and it starts with the owners. What is K-Rod's punishment for this violent outburst? A full 2 game suspension. Do Mets fans everywhere a favor and just blow up the team and start over. Complete overhaul. The only thing saving the Wilpon's from even more scrutiny is Knicks owner Jim Dolan and his "crying game" type obsession with Isiah Thomas.
While the date may read Friday the 13th, avid followers of Propick Sports refer to this day as Christmas in August. Today I release my long awaited NFL season totals for the 2010 football year. As many of you may recall, last year I was 4-1 with my releases (Wins: Jets over 8, New England under 11, Giants under 9.5, Eagles over 9.5, loss: Colts under 11).
Here are this years lotto tickets. Feel free to rack up credit card bills in anticipation of a huge payday. Consider this my "blank check to you". I could not possibly feel anymore confident in this years releases.
Dolphins over 8.5
Falcons over 9
Raiders Over 6
Chargers Under 11
Seahawks Under 7.5
Kudos to the whole New York Mets orgnization. Wednesday night marked yet another low point for the oft struggling franchise. Reliever Francisco Rodriguez decided to further disgrace what is already a complete joke of an organization by beating the crap out of his girlfriend's 53 year old father following a 6-2 loss to the Rockies. Making matters worse was the fact that this was done in the family area of the clubhouse. As a result kids had to witness this behavior. Could you imagine a situation like this happening with the Yankees? Of course not. This organization is a complete embarrassment and it starts with the owners. What is K-Rod's punishment for this violent outburst? A full 2 game suspension. Do Mets fans everywhere a favor and just blow up the team and start over. Complete overhaul. The only thing saving the Wilpon's from even more scrutiny is Knicks owner Jim Dolan and his "crying game" type obsession with Isiah Thomas.
Wednesday, August 11, 2010
Poor Scottie Pippen.....
Today's MLB releases are as follows: Cardinals -125, Angels -160, and Dodgers +123.
After amassing a total of roughly $120 million in career earnings, it is now time to break out the collection basket for formr NBA All Star Scottie Pippen. Ironically Pippen, who was poor as a child, often times took longer term contracts forgoing more money for instant security. Unfortunately for Mssr. Pippen, the private jet which never made it off the ground, along with several other failed business ventures, put a little dent into his bank account(s). Remember, Pippen's prime was during the late 80's through the 1990's, meaning that his earnings would be even more impressive when factoring in inflation,etc. Okay, enough of me trying to quantify the magnitude of this financial tsunami. In summation, while it is hard to feel bad for someone who enjoyed the fame and riches that Scottie Pippen had, it is even harder to lose what Mssr. Pippen did. Good luck Scottie .....
After amassing a total of roughly $120 million in career earnings, it is now time to break out the collection basket for formr NBA All Star Scottie Pippen. Ironically Pippen, who was poor as a child, often times took longer term contracts forgoing more money for instant security. Unfortunately for Mssr. Pippen, the private jet which never made it off the ground, along with several other failed business ventures, put a little dent into his bank account(s). Remember, Pippen's prime was during the late 80's through the 1990's, meaning that his earnings would be even more impressive when factoring in inflation,etc. Okay, enough of me trying to quantify the magnitude of this financial tsunami. In summation, while it is hard to feel bad for someone who enjoyed the fame and riches that Scottie Pippen had, it is even harder to lose what Mssr. Pippen did. Good luck Scottie .....
Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Make More Money Online.............
After guaranteeing my fan base nothing but handicapping success, I backed up that pledge with an impressive 7-3 win by the Cardinals last night. Furthermore, at 7-0 in the 4th inning, this game was never in doubt.
Tonight's action features several intriguing matchups. One game I am not releasing but have a strong contrarian feel on involves the New York Mets. With Mike Pelphrey on the hill (where he has been god awful during the past six weeks), the Mets find themselves facing Colorado Rockie ace, Ubaldo Jimenez and his gaudy 17-2 record. With the backdrop looking so ominous for the Mets, why then is the line only +140 for the Mets? Here is the deal: the Rockies are 4-22 in their last 26 games versus the Mets in New York and the Mets boast an impressive 33-19 home record. With a majority of sports handicappers and Met's fans thinking this team is finished, this game has Mets victory written all over it. With Pelphrey's recent pitching woes, what would be more torturous for a Mets fan than to see him pitch a gem tonight?
Phillies even money over the Dodgers. I could care less about pitching matchups in this game. Here is all you need to know: Philly owns the Dodgers, having beaten them in the playoffs the past two years, in convincing fashion. I expect nothing less tonight and at even $ I think this is a gift.
Tonight's action features several intriguing matchups. One game I am not releasing but have a strong contrarian feel on involves the New York Mets. With Mike Pelphrey on the hill (where he has been god awful during the past six weeks), the Mets find themselves facing Colorado Rockie ace, Ubaldo Jimenez and his gaudy 17-2 record. With the backdrop looking so ominous for the Mets, why then is the line only +140 for the Mets? Here is the deal: the Rockies are 4-22 in their last 26 games versus the Mets in New York and the Mets boast an impressive 33-19 home record. With a majority of sports handicappers and Met's fans thinking this team is finished, this game has Mets victory written all over it. With Pelphrey's recent pitching woes, what would be more torturous for a Mets fan than to see him pitch a gem tonight?
Phillies even money over the Dodgers. I could care less about pitching matchups in this game. Here is all you need to know: Philly owns the Dodgers, having beaten them in the playoffs the past two years, in convincing fashion. I expect nothing less tonight and at even $ I think this is a gift.
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