Tonight's primetime ESPN college football game between the Virginia Tech Hokies and the Georgia Tech Yellow jackets features two of the more intruiging programs in the country. After a lackluster start to the year which included an opening game loss to Boise State followed by a shocking upset at the hands of James Madison, Virginia Tech has bounced back by winning and more importantly covering everyone of their last six games.
Georgia Tech has been somewhat enigmatic. Despite an impressive arsenal of offensive weapons and their triple option formation, the Yellow Jackets are 5-3 and a piss poor 3-5against the spread. That being said, the line opened with Georgia Tech catching 15 points before finally settling in at Georgia Tech +12.5. Considering the past two games between these teams resulted in margins of victory of only 5 and 3 points, this line appears to be out of whack. Furthermore, Georgia Tech's offense is difficult to prepare for since no one else in the ACC runs their triple option formation.
Can Virginia Tech cover this number? This line appears to be a misprint. Vegas knows how close these teams have played eahc other in past years and still, they are begging you to take Georgia Tech. Vegas and every "common man" on the planet is well aware of Georgia Tech's success running out of their triple option formation. What makes anyone confident that Virginia Tech will be able to shut this down? Here's the rub. Virginia Tech is coming off a bye week in which they have had two weeks to prepare for Georgia Tech's offense. In addition, the Hokies are playing at home on a Thursday night where they should enjoy an even greater homefield advantage. Most impressively, Virginia Tech is 14-4 in their last 18 games on Thursday night against the spread.
The Release. After weighing the pros and cons of this game, my initial gut instinct liked the points with Georgia Tech, while my math/situational model strongly favored Virginia Tech. If this line was Virginia Tech -8.5 up to -9.5, I would feel less confident about them. However, the sheer magnitude of this line makes me more convinced that the Hokies will win this game in convincing fashion. All signs point to a close game followed by Virginia Tech pulling away towards the end of the third quarter. With a tradition of stellar special teams play, look for the Hokies to capitalize on something along the lines of a blocked punt return or a kickoff return for a touchdown. Tonight's play.... Virginia Tech -12.5 over Georgia Tech.
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A sports Information service with over 20 years of handicapping experience. This Post allows people to get into the mind of a true sports handicapper, while avoiding the "traps" of the common man. The common man is anyone we know who feels the need to broadcast his opinion (most often dead wrong) to all his friends. Common man will not be happy until his friends follow his advice and head down the same path of self-loathing/ loserdom that he has embarked upon.
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- Propick Sports
- I am an avid sports handicapper. For the past 20 years I have been handing out winners across all sports like confetti at a parade. unfortunately I had jobs that required all my attention and prohibited me from pursuing that which I love most- Sports Handicapping.