Thursday, May 3, 2012

Lock of the Year...........

After spending the past few weeks traveling, I have decided to return with a bang! A statement release if you will. Throughout the duration of these first round NBA playoff matchups, the action has been lackluster at best. With injuries taking a toll on several teams, most notably the Bulls, we are witnessing firsthand the affects of a lockout shortened season. Luckily for our loyal patrons, Propick is poised to release our NBA playoff game of the year. Without fail, our proprietary model appears to be complimented by a favorable situational trend. When the Dallas Mavericks lost their second straight final second game to the Oklahoma Thunder, most pundits declared the Mavs dead. After all, this is an older team who just got its heart ripped out by a younger, more athletic squad. Upon viewing the lines I was surprised to see the Mavericks only a 3 point favorite at home for tonight's game 3 contest. Our proprietary models suggested the Mavericks would be a 5.5 point favorite. Immediately we smelled blood in the water. Throughout the history of the NBA playoffs, teams that were down 2-0 in a series have experienced overwhelming success upon their return home for game 3. Furthermore, while this trend supports our underlying thesis, you must also factor in the type of team the defending champion Mavericks are. This is a proud, angry, and well coached group. With all this going for them, I see no reason not to lay the 3 points tonight and take out a second mortgage if feel so inclined. Rarely do you a situation where you are getting the home team at a discount. Tonight's NBA Playoff Lock of the Year is : Mavs -3 over Thunder.