Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Game of the Year....

In an unprecedented move, we at Propick Sports are releasing our NFL GOY (Game of the Year), on a Tuesday afternoon.  Why? Two reasons. First off, this line will probably move by weeks end so it is imperative to lock the spread in now. Furthermore, due to contractual demands I will be on the road for the next few days.  Regardless of the reason, remember that "when I throw you a blank check, do not question my reason for doing so".

Atlanta Falcons. After jumping out of the gate with an impressive 6-0 record, the Falcons have been  anointed by most pundits as the best team in the NFL.  At the very least, they have been the most consistent. With a revamped defense, a quarterback playing at the top of his game, and clutch come from behind wins, the Falcons have managed to impress even the most cynical sports handicapper. Factor in a breakout year from wide receiver Julio Jones and the Falcons are an absolute nightmare for opposing defensive backs throughout the league.

Eagles. Sitting at 3-3 the Philadelphia Eagles have once again managed to underperform expectations.  After a strong finish to last season (despite not making the playoffs), most experts believed that this would be the year that the stars would align in the city of brotherly love. No such luck thus far. What ails one of the most talented teams in the NFL?  Turnovers and weak offensive line play.  Can Michael Vick find lightening in a bottle and play like he did during the 2010 season?  One thing is certain at this point: the Eagles have more questions than answers.

The line.  With all the issues the Eagles are facing why are they a slight favorite?  After opening up at a pick em, the line is now anywhere from Eagles -1 to -2.5.  What Vegas is doing is begging the common man to take the 6-0 Falcons. With repeated comments regarding Andy Reid's future in Philadelphia, the common man cannot believe the gift which he has been given.  Who doesn't want to take the best team in the NFL getting points?

The Release.  Eagles -2 over the Falcons. This is the greatest example of a "hold your nose and buy em" philosophy.  After running several scenarios via our proprietary models, the Eagles came out ahead with several strong trends supporting them in this matchup. This is a must win for the Eagles and coming off a bye week under Andy Reid, history suggests the Eagles will get the job done. Furthermore, Atlanta is the softest 6-0 this league has ever known. This is a classic case of backing a desperate team at home.