California Dreamin.....

The only College Bowl game on Saturday's slate that is of any interest to me involves the 8pm game between the USC Trojans and the Boston College Eagles. This matchup is intriguing for one reason: my proprietary model has USC a much larger favorite since they have an edge in almost every position on the field, including coaching. However, this line has come down from USC -9 to -7, despite many people feeling that SC wins going away. What gives? How about the fact that after winning seven straight PAC -10 titles and playing in seven straight New Years Day or BCS Championship games, the Trojans find themselves in the Emerald Bowl. Furthermore you have several USC players out for the game and what could be another if running back Joe McKnight does not suit up (a little snafu involving a car that McKinight denies being given). While USC is not used to playing in a game such as the Emerald Bowl, remember this, BC usually plays on New Years eve so this is not exactly a dream scenario for them either.
Bottomline is the Dream, who usually sticks to NHL releases, told me to lay the 7 with SC since they are a superior team and there is serious "line value at only -7". Speed at the skill positions and defense win bowl games and this time will be no different. The Release......USC -7.