Bears vs. Packers.......

After a red hot undefeated Sunday, I am looking to extend this winning streak for as long as humanly possible. Tonight's contest features one of the surprise teams of this early NFL season, the Chicago Bears, against the NFC team most people believe will represent their conference in the Superbowl, the Green Bay Packers. Even more intriguing is the quarterback matchup between Jay Cutler and Aaron Rodgers.

While both teams are 2-0, the Bears win over Dallas on the road last week, has seemed to attract a new legion of Bear supporters. Meanwhile, despite dismantling the Buffalo Bills last week, many view tonight's road game as the true litmus test for both the Packers ad Aaron Rodgers.

After evaluating my model and forecasting various scenarios- turnovers, etc., the conclusion I reached was: Packers are 5 points better than the Bears, even on the road. However, what my model failed to incorporate was the enormous importance of the divisional home underdog theory. This theory is time tested and impossible to ignore especially this early in the season. With that said, take the Bears and the points tonight. Bears +3 over the Packers.