Friday, September 10, 2010

OHIO STATE VS. MIAMI

In what might be the best college football weekend of the year, Propick has decided to spend the week (after my Monday night success) in the bunker and get down to business. Usually I avoid handicapping the marquee matchups and focus on the hidden gems that fly under the radar. Without further adieu, here are this weekend's college winners.

Ohio State -8.5 over Miami. Much has been made about the "Return of the U". However, despite their athleticism, this team has a penchant for making mistakes and are playing a team looking to make its case for being #1 in the country. Ohio State has the experience, athletes, coaching, and above all a huge home field edge. Cannot see this game being any closer then a ten point Ohio State victory.

Michigan +4 over Notre Dame. This game means the world to Michigan head coach Rich Rodriguez. Despite winning their home opener, Notre Dame looked very average on offense and I expect Michigan to have no problem putting up points of their own. This game feels like a toss up/slight edge Michigan. Take the four points and move on.

*Bonus release. This is a "strong lean" despite contradicting our proprietary model.
Alabama -11.5 over Penn State. There is no doubt that defending National Champion Alabama is the better team. However, as seen by Penn State's gritty performance in their Gator Bowl victory over LSU last year, there are still plenty of top flight athletes on the Nittany Lions roster. Although the Crimson tide lost eight players on their defense to graduation, make no mistake about it-this defense is loaded! While our model suggests Alabama should be an 8.5 point favorite, there are other factors at play such as: freshman quarterback for Penn State in is first big road game and the fact that Bama has a decided home field advantage.